Starbucks Cdr Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 26.34

SBUX Stock   26.45  0.11  0.42%   
Starbucks CDR's future price is the expected price of Starbucks CDR instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Starbucks CDR performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Starbucks CDR Backtesting, Starbucks CDR Valuation, Starbucks CDR Correlation, Starbucks CDR Hype Analysis, Starbucks CDR Volatility, Starbucks CDR History as well as Starbucks CDR Performance.
  
Please specify Starbucks CDR's target price for which you would like Starbucks CDR odds to be computed.

Starbucks CDR Target Price Odds to finish below 26.34

The tendency of Starbucks Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  26.34  or more in 90 days
 26.45 90 days 26.34 
about 10.56
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Starbucks CDR to drop to  26.34  or more in 90 days from now is about 10.56 (This Starbucks CDR probability density function shows the probability of Starbucks Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Starbucks CDR price to stay between  26.34  and its current price of 26.45 at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 2.1 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Starbucks CDR has a beta of 0.0703. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Starbucks CDR average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Starbucks CDR will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Starbucks CDR has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Starbucks CDR Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Starbucks CDR

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Starbucks CDR. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
25.1026.4527.80
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
25.4526.8028.15
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
26.2427.5928.93
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
24.3727.1029.83
Details

Starbucks CDR Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Starbucks CDR is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Starbucks CDR's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Starbucks CDR, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Starbucks CDR within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.07
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.07
σ
Overall volatility
1.03
Ir
Information ratio -0.07

Starbucks CDR Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Starbucks CDR for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Starbucks CDR can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Starbucks CDR generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Starbucks CDR Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Starbucks Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Starbucks CDR's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Starbucks CDR's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Dividend Yield0.0254
Forward Annual Dividend Rate0.67
Shares Float1.1 B

Starbucks CDR Technical Analysis

Starbucks CDR's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Starbucks Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Starbucks CDR. In general, you should focus on analyzing Starbucks Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Starbucks CDR Predictive Forecast Models

Starbucks CDR's time-series forecasting models is one of many Starbucks CDR's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Starbucks CDR's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Starbucks CDR

Checking the ongoing alerts about Starbucks CDR for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Starbucks CDR help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Starbucks CDR generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Other Information on Investing in Starbucks Stock

Starbucks CDR financial ratios help investors to determine whether Starbucks Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Starbucks with respect to the benefits of owning Starbucks CDR security.