SEVENI HLDGS (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 12.5
| S6MA Stock | EUR 14.00 0.10 0.71% |
SEVENI |
SEVENI HLDGS Target Price Odds to finish below 12.5
The tendency of SEVENI Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to € 12.50 or more in 90 days |
| 14.00 | 90 days | 12.50 | about 34.98 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of SEVENI HLDGS to drop to € 12.50 or more in 90 days from now is about 34.98 (This SEVENI HLDGS UNSPADR12 probability density function shows the probability of SEVENI Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of SEVENI HLDGS UNSPADR12 price to stay between € 12.50 and its current price of €14.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 60.65 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon SEVENI HLDGS has a beta of 0.28. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, SEVENI HLDGS average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding SEVENI HLDGS UNSPADR12 will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally SEVENI HLDGS UNSPADR12 has an alpha of 0.1277, implying that it can generate a 0.13 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). SEVENI HLDGS Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for SEVENI HLDGS
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as SEVENI HLDGS UNSPADR12. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.SEVENI HLDGS Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. SEVENI HLDGS is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the SEVENI HLDGS's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold SEVENI HLDGS UNSPADR12, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of SEVENI HLDGS within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.13 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.28 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.71 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.06 |
SEVENI HLDGS Technical Analysis
SEVENI HLDGS's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. SEVENI Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of SEVENI HLDGS UNSPADR12. In general, you should focus on analyzing SEVENI Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
SEVENI HLDGS Predictive Forecast Models
SEVENI HLDGS's time-series forecasting models is one of many SEVENI HLDGS's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary SEVENI HLDGS's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards SEVENI HLDGS in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, SEVENI HLDGS's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from SEVENI HLDGS options trading.
Other Information on Investing in SEVENI Stock
SEVENI HLDGS financial ratios help investors to determine whether SEVENI Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in SEVENI with respect to the benefits of owning SEVENI HLDGS security.