Snowflake (Brazil) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 15.28
| S2NW34 Stock | BRL 24.48 0.87 3.43% |
Snowflake |
Snowflake Target Price Odds to finish over 15.28
The tendency of Snowflake Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above R$ 15.28 in 90 days |
| 24.48 | 90 days | 15.28 | about 85.76 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Snowflake to stay above R$ 15.28 in 90 days from now is about 85.76 (This Snowflake probability density function shows the probability of Snowflake Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Snowflake price to stay between R$ 15.28 and its current price of R$24.48 at the end of the 90-day period is about 68.15 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Snowflake has a beta of 0.49. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Snowflake average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Snowflake will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Snowflake has an alpha of 0.7752, implying that it can generate a 0.78 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Snowflake Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Snowflake
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Snowflake. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Snowflake Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Snowflake is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Snowflake's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Snowflake, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Snowflake within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.78 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.49 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 4.60 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.16 |
Snowflake Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Snowflake for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Snowflake can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Snowflake appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Snowflake has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 1.22 B. Net Loss for the year was (679.95 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 760.89 M. |
Snowflake Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Snowflake Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Snowflake's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Snowflake's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 312.4 M | |
| Shares Float | 285.8 M |
Snowflake Technical Analysis
Snowflake's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Snowflake Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Snowflake. In general, you should focus on analyzing Snowflake Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Snowflake Predictive Forecast Models
Snowflake's time-series forecasting models is one of many Snowflake's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Snowflake's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Snowflake
Checking the ongoing alerts about Snowflake for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Snowflake help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Snowflake appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Snowflake has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 1.22 B. Net Loss for the year was (679.95 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 760.89 M. |
Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Snowflake Stock
When determining whether Snowflake is a strong investment it is important to analyze Snowflake's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Snowflake's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Snowflake Stock, refer to the following important reports:Check out Snowflake Backtesting, Snowflake Valuation, Snowflake Correlation, Snowflake Hype Analysis, Snowflake Volatility, Snowflake History as well as Snowflake Performance. For information on how to trade Snowflake Stock refer to our How to Trade Snowflake Stock guide.You can also try the Volatility Analysis module to get historical volatility and risk analysis based on latest market data.