Merafe Resources (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.0745
| RZT Stock | EUR 0.07 0.01 6.25% |
Merafe |
Merafe Resources Target Price Odds to finish below 0.0745
The tendency of Merafe Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to € 0.07 or more in 90 days |
| 0.07 | 90 days | 0.07 | about 36.26 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Merafe Resources to drop to € 0.07 or more in 90 days from now is about 36.26 (This Merafe Resources Limited probability density function shows the probability of Merafe Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Merafe Resources price to stay between € 0.07 and its current price of €0.075 at the end of the 90-day period is about 5.52 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Merafe Resources Limited has a beta of -0.28 indicating as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Merafe Resources are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Merafe Resources Limited is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Merafe Resources Limited has an alpha of 0.1293, implying that it can generate a 0.13 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Merafe Resources Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Merafe Resources
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Merafe Resources. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Merafe Resources Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Merafe Resources is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Merafe Resources' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Merafe Resources Limited, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Merafe Resources within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.13 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.28 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0 |
Merafe Resources Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Merafe Resources for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Merafe Resources can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Merafe Resources had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Merafe Resources has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| About 29.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Merafe Resources Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Merafe Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Merafe Resources' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Merafe Resources' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 2.5 B |
Merafe Resources Technical Analysis
Merafe Resources' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Merafe Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Merafe Resources Limited. In general, you should focus on analyzing Merafe Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Merafe Resources Predictive Forecast Models
Merafe Resources' time-series forecasting models is one of many Merafe Resources' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Merafe Resources' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Merafe Resources
Checking the ongoing alerts about Merafe Resources for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Merafe Resources help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Merafe Resources had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Merafe Resources has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| About 29.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Merafe Stock
Merafe Resources financial ratios help investors to determine whether Merafe Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Merafe with respect to the benefits of owning Merafe Resources security.