Reysas Tasimacilik (Turkey) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 15.38

RYSAS Stock  TRY 19.49  0.75  4.00%   
Reysas Tasimacilik's future price is the expected price of Reysas Tasimacilik instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Reysas Tasimacilik ve performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Reysas Tasimacilik Backtesting, Reysas Tasimacilik Valuation, Reysas Tasimacilik Correlation, Reysas Tasimacilik Hype Analysis, Reysas Tasimacilik Volatility, Reysas Tasimacilik History as well as Reysas Tasimacilik Performance.
  
Please specify Reysas Tasimacilik's target price for which you would like Reysas Tasimacilik odds to be computed.

Reysas Tasimacilik Target Price Odds to finish below 15.38

The tendency of Reysas Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  15.38  or more in 90 days
 19.49 90 days 15.38 
about 63.56
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Reysas Tasimacilik to drop to  15.38  or more in 90 days from now is about 63.56 (This Reysas Tasimacilik ve probability density function shows the probability of Reysas Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Reysas Tasimacilik price to stay between  15.38  and its current price of 19.49 at the end of the 90-day period is about 33.2 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Reysas Tasimacilik has a beta of 0.94 indicating Reysas Tasimacilik ve market returns are responsive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Reysas Tasimacilik is expected to follow. Additionally Reysas Tasimacilik ve has an alpha of 0.6524, implying that it can generate a 0.65 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Reysas Tasimacilik Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Reysas Tasimacilik

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Reysas Tasimacilik. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Reysas Tasimacilik's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
15.3819.4923.60
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
18.5022.6126.72
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
14.7018.8122.91
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
17.0218.4419.85
Details

Reysas Tasimacilik Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Reysas Tasimacilik is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Reysas Tasimacilik's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Reysas Tasimacilik ve, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Reysas Tasimacilik within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.65
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.94
σ
Overall volatility
2.72
Ir
Information ratio 0.16

Reysas Tasimacilik Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Reysas Tasimacilik for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Reysas Tasimacilik can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Reysas Tasimacilik appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Reysas Tasimacilik ve has accumulated 934.76 M in total debt. Reysas Tasimacilik has a current ratio of 0.37, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Reysas Tasimacilik until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Reysas Tasimacilik's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Reysas Tasimacilik sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Reysas to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Reysas Tasimacilik's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the revenue of 1.02 B. Net Loss for the year was (57.68 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 328.48 M.
About 41.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Reysas Tasimacilik Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Reysas Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Reysas Tasimacilik's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Reysas Tasimacilik's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding244.1 M

Reysas Tasimacilik Technical Analysis

Reysas Tasimacilik's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Reysas Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Reysas Tasimacilik ve. In general, you should focus on analyzing Reysas Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Reysas Tasimacilik Predictive Forecast Models

Reysas Tasimacilik's time-series forecasting models is one of many Reysas Tasimacilik's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Reysas Tasimacilik's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Reysas Tasimacilik

Checking the ongoing alerts about Reysas Tasimacilik for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Reysas Tasimacilik help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Reysas Tasimacilik appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Reysas Tasimacilik ve has accumulated 934.76 M in total debt. Reysas Tasimacilik has a current ratio of 0.37, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Reysas Tasimacilik until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Reysas Tasimacilik's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Reysas Tasimacilik sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Reysas to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Reysas Tasimacilik's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the revenue of 1.02 B. Net Loss for the year was (57.68 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 328.48 M.
About 41.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in Reysas Stock

Reysas Tasimacilik financial ratios help investors to determine whether Reysas Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Reysas with respect to the benefits of owning Reysas Tasimacilik security.