Redwood Trust Preferred Stock Probability of Future Preferred Stock Price Finishing Over 26.81

RWT-PA Preferred Stock   25.76  0.18  0.70%   
Redwood Trust's future price is the expected price of Redwood Trust instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Redwood Trust performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Redwood Trust Backtesting, Redwood Trust Valuation, Redwood Trust Correlation, Redwood Trust Hype Analysis, Redwood Trust Volatility, Redwood Trust History as well as Redwood Trust Performance.
For information on how to trade Redwood Preferred Stock refer to our How to Trade Redwood Preferred Stock guide.
  
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Redwood Trust Target Price Odds to finish over 26.81

The tendency of Redwood Preferred Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  26.81  or more in 90 days
 25.76 90 days 26.81 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Redwood Trust to move over  26.81  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Redwood Trust probability density function shows the probability of Redwood Preferred Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Redwood Trust price to stay between its current price of  25.76  and  26.81  at the end of the 90-day period is about 47.63 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Redwood Trust has a beta of 0.0987 indicating as returns on the market go up, Redwood Trust average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Redwood Trust will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Redwood Trust has an alpha of 0.0466, implying that it can generate a 0.0466 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Redwood Trust Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Redwood Trust

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Redwood Trust. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the preferred stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the preferred stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
25.0625.7626.46
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
25.0625.7626.46
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
24.5325.2425.94
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
25.5325.9126.29
Details

Redwood Trust Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Redwood Trust is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Redwood Trust's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Redwood Trust, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Redwood Trust within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.05
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.1
σ
Overall volatility
0.40
Ir
Information ratio 0.04

Redwood Trust Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Redwood Trust for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Redwood Trust can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

Redwood Trust Technical Analysis

Redwood Trust's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Redwood Preferred Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Redwood Trust. In general, you should focus on analyzing Redwood Preferred Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Redwood Trust Predictive Forecast Models

Redwood Trust's time-series forecasting models is one of many Redwood Trust's preferred stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Redwood Trust's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the preferred stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Redwood Trust

Checking the ongoing alerts about Redwood Trust for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Redwood Trust help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

Other Information on Investing in Redwood Preferred Stock

Redwood Trust financial ratios help investors to determine whether Redwood Preferred Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Redwood with respect to the benefits of owning Redwood Trust security.