Rugby Mining Limited Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.015

RUG Stock  CAD 0.02  0.01  33.33%   
Rugby Mining's future price is the expected price of Rugby Mining instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Rugby Mining Limited performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Rugby Mining Backtesting, Rugby Mining Valuation, Rugby Mining Correlation, Rugby Mining Hype Analysis, Rugby Mining Volatility, Rugby Mining History as well as Rugby Mining Performance.
  
At this time, Rugby Mining's Price Book Value Ratio is fairly stable compared to the past year. Price Earnings To Growth Ratio is likely to climb to 0.06 in 2024, whereas Price Earnings Ratio is likely to drop (4.69) in 2024. Please specify Rugby Mining's target price for which you would like Rugby Mining odds to be computed.

Rugby Mining Target Price Odds to finish below 0.015

The tendency of Rugby Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to C$ 0.01  or more in 90 days
 0.02 90 days 0.01 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Rugby Mining to drop to C$ 0.01  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Rugby Mining Limited probability density function shows the probability of Rugby Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Rugby Mining Limited price to stay between C$ 0.01  and its current price of C$0.02 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Rugby Mining Limited has a beta of -0.82 indicating as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Rugby Mining are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Rugby Mining Limited is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Rugby Mining Limited has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Rugby Mining Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Rugby Mining

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Rugby Mining Limited. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.0210.52
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.0210.52
Details

Rugby Mining Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Rugby Mining is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Rugby Mining's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Rugby Mining Limited, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Rugby Mining within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.73
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.82
σ
Overall volatility
0.01
Ir
Information ratio -0.07

Rugby Mining Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Rugby Mining for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Rugby Mining Limited can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Rugby Mining Limited generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Rugby Mining Limited has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Rugby Mining Limited has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Rugby Mining Limited has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
Net Loss for the year was (3.46 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 495.
Rugby Mining Limited has accumulated about 1.24 M in cash with (3.26 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.01.
Roughly 19.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Rugby Mining Shifts Focus Amid Regulatory Changes - TipRanks

Rugby Mining Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Rugby Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Rugby Mining's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Rugby Mining's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding257.8 M
Cash And Short Term InvestmentsM

Rugby Mining Technical Analysis

Rugby Mining's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Rugby Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Rugby Mining Limited. In general, you should focus on analyzing Rugby Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Rugby Mining Predictive Forecast Models

Rugby Mining's time-series forecasting models is one of many Rugby Mining's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Rugby Mining's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Rugby Mining Limited

Checking the ongoing alerts about Rugby Mining for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Rugby Mining Limited help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Rugby Mining Limited generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Rugby Mining Limited has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Rugby Mining Limited has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Rugby Mining Limited has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
Net Loss for the year was (3.46 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 495.
Rugby Mining Limited has accumulated about 1.24 M in cash with (3.26 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.01.
Roughly 19.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Rugby Mining Shifts Focus Amid Regulatory Changes - TipRanks

Additional Tools for Rugby Stock Analysis

When running Rugby Mining's price analysis, check to measure Rugby Mining's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Rugby Mining is operating at the current time. Most of Rugby Mining's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Rugby Mining's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Rugby Mining's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Rugby Mining to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.