Roper Technologies (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 407.0
ROP Stock | EUR 486.00 2.60 0.53% |
Roper |
Roper Technologies Target Price Odds to finish below 407.0
The tendency of Roper Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 407.00 or more in 90 days |
486.00 | 90 days | 407.00 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Roper Technologies to drop to 407.00 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Roper Technologies probability density function shows the probability of Roper Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Roper Technologies price to stay between 407.00 and its current price of 486.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 6.19 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Roper Technologies has a beta of -0.11 indicating as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Roper Technologies are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Roper Technologies is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Roper Technologies has an alpha of 0.013, implying that it can generate a 0.013 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Roper Technologies Price Density |
Price |
Predictive Modules for Roper Technologies
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Roper Technologies. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Roper Technologies Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Roper Technologies is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Roper Technologies' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Roper Technologies, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Roper Technologies within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.01 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.11 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 14.68 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.0056 |
Roper Technologies Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Roper Technologies for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Roper Technologies can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.Roper Technologies generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
Over 97.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors |
Roper Technologies Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Roper Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Roper Technologies' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Roper Technologies' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 106.1 M |
Roper Technologies Technical Analysis
Roper Technologies' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Roper Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Roper Technologies. In general, you should focus on analyzing Roper Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Roper Technologies Predictive Forecast Models
Roper Technologies' time-series forecasting models is one of many Roper Technologies' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Roper Technologies' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Roper Technologies
Checking the ongoing alerts about Roper Technologies for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Roper Technologies help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Roper Technologies generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
Over 97.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors |
Other Information on Investing in Roper Stock
Roper Technologies financial ratios help investors to determine whether Roper Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Roper with respect to the benefits of owning Roper Technologies security.