Robit Oyj (Finland) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 1.44

ROBIT Stock  EUR 1.38  0.01  0.73%   
Robit Oyj's future price is the expected price of Robit Oyj instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Robit Oyj performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Robit Oyj Backtesting, Robit Oyj Valuation, Robit Oyj Correlation, Robit Oyj Hype Analysis, Robit Oyj Volatility, Robit Oyj History as well as Robit Oyj Performance.
  
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Robit Oyj Target Price Odds to finish over 1.44

The tendency of Robit Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over € 1.44  or more in 90 days
 1.38 90 days 1.44 
about 75.56
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Robit Oyj to move over € 1.44  or more in 90 days from now is about 75.56 (This Robit Oyj probability density function shows the probability of Robit Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Robit Oyj price to stay between its current price of € 1.38  and € 1.44  at the end of the 90-day period is about 12.01 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Robit Oyj has a beta of 0.28 indicating as returns on the market go up, Robit Oyj average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Robit Oyj will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Robit Oyj has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Robit Oyj Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Robit Oyj

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Robit Oyj. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Robit Oyj's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.071.383.45
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.071.443.51
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.031.383.44
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
1.331.371.41
Details

Robit Oyj Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Robit Oyj is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Robit Oyj's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Robit Oyj, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Robit Oyj within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.32
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.28
σ
Overall volatility
0.13
Ir
Information ratio -0.2

Robit Oyj Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Robit Oyj for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Robit Oyj can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Robit Oyj generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Robit Oyj may become a speculative penny stock
Robit Oyj has accumulated €25.19 Million in debt which can lead to volatile earnings
Robit Oyj has accumulated about 17.96 M in cash with (4.17 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.85.
Roughly 31.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Robit Oyj Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Robit Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Robit Oyj's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Robit Oyj's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding21.1 M

Robit Oyj Technical Analysis

Robit Oyj's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Robit Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Robit Oyj. In general, you should focus on analyzing Robit Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Robit Oyj Predictive Forecast Models

Robit Oyj's time-series forecasting models is one of many Robit Oyj's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Robit Oyj's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Robit Oyj

Checking the ongoing alerts about Robit Oyj for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Robit Oyj help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Robit Oyj generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Robit Oyj may become a speculative penny stock
Robit Oyj has accumulated €25.19 Million in debt which can lead to volatile earnings
Robit Oyj has accumulated about 17.96 M in cash with (4.17 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.85.
Roughly 31.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in Robit Stock

Robit Oyj financial ratios help investors to determine whether Robit Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Robit with respect to the benefits of owning Robit Oyj security.