Rlj Lodging Trust Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 9.72
| RLJ Stock | USD 10.21 0.06 0.59% |
RLJ |
RLJ Lodging Target Price Odds to finish below 9.72
The tendency of RLJ Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 9.72 or more in 90 days |
| 10.21 | 90 days | 9.72 | about 60.85 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of RLJ Lodging to drop to $ 9.72 or more in 90 days from now is about 60.85 (This RLJ Lodging Trust probability density function shows the probability of RLJ Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of RLJ Lodging Trust price to stay between $ 9.72 and its current price of $10.21 at the end of the 90-day period is about 26.24 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon RLJ Lodging has a beta of 0.24 indicating as returns on the market go up, RLJ Lodging average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding RLJ Lodging Trust will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally RLJ Lodging Trust has an alpha of 0.1697, implying that it can generate a 0.17 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). RLJ Lodging Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for RLJ Lodging
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as RLJ Lodging Trust. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.RLJ Lodging Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. RLJ Lodging is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the RLJ Lodging's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold RLJ Lodging Trust, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of RLJ Lodging within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.17 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.24 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.57 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.11 |
RLJ Lodging Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of RLJ Lodging for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for RLJ Lodging Trust can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| RLJ Lodging Trust has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Over 94.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Are Investors Undervaluing RLJ Lodging Trust Right Now |
RLJ Lodging Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of RLJ Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential RLJ Lodging's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. RLJ Lodging's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 156.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 516.7 M |
RLJ Lodging Technical Analysis
RLJ Lodging's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. RLJ Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of RLJ Lodging Trust. In general, you should focus on analyzing RLJ Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.