B Riley Financial Stock Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 11.46
| RILYK Stock | USD 19.85 0.15 0.75% |
RILYK |
B Riley Target Price Odds to finish below 11.46
The tendency of RILYK Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 11.46 or more in 90 days |
| 19.85 | 90 days | 11.46 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of B Riley to drop to $ 11.46 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This B Riley Financial probability density function shows the probability of RILYK Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of B Riley Financial price to stay between $ 11.46 and its current price of $19.85 at the end of the 90-day period is about 82.62 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon B Riley Financial has a beta of -0.0831 indicating as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding B Riley are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, B Riley Financial is likely to outperform the market. Additionally B Riley Financial has an alpha of 0.3014, implying that it can generate a 0.3 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). B Riley Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for B Riley
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as B Riley Financial. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of B Riley's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
B Riley Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. B Riley is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the B Riley's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold B Riley Financial, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of B Riley within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.30 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.08 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.50 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.10 |
B Riley Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of B Riley for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for B Riley Financial can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| B Riley Financial has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 1.64 B. Net Loss for the year was (99.91 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| B Riley Financial has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: B. Riley Accuses Former Senior Banker of Trade Secrets Theft - BNN Bloomberg |
B Riley Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of RILYK Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential B Riley's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. B Riley's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 29.3 M | |
| Dividends Paid | -149.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 232 M |
B Riley Technical Analysis
B Riley's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. RILYK Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of B Riley Financial. In general, you should focus on analyzing RILYK Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
B Riley Predictive Forecast Models
B Riley's time-series forecasting models is one of many B Riley's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary B Riley's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about B Riley Financial
Checking the ongoing alerts about B Riley for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for B Riley Financial help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| B Riley Financial has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 1.64 B. Net Loss for the year was (99.91 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| B Riley Financial has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: B. Riley Accuses Former Senior Banker of Trade Secrets Theft - BNN Bloomberg |
Check out B Riley Backtesting, B Riley Valuation, B Riley Correlation, B Riley Hype Analysis, B Riley Volatility, B Riley History as well as B Riley Performance. You can also try the Sectors module to list of equity sectors categorizing publicly traded companies based on their primary business activities.
Is Investment Banking & Brokerage space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of B Riley. If investors know RILYK will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about B Riley listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Return On Equity 1.1438 |
The market value of B Riley Financial is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of RILYK that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of B Riley's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is B Riley's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because B Riley's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect B Riley's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between B Riley's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if B Riley is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, B Riley's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.