Red Hill (Australia) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 4.93

RHI Stock   4.12  0.15  3.51%   
Red Hill's future price is the expected price of Red Hill instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Red Hill Iron performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Red Hill Backtesting, Red Hill Valuation, Red Hill Correlation, Red Hill Hype Analysis, Red Hill Volatility, Red Hill History as well as Red Hill Performance.
  
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Red Hill Target Price Odds to finish below 4.93

The tendency of Red Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under  4.93  after 90 days
 4.12 90 days 4.93 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Red Hill to stay under  4.93  after 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Red Hill Iron probability density function shows the probability of Red Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Red Hill Iron price to stay between its current price of  4.12  and  4.93  at the end of the 90-day period is about 19.16 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Red Hill has a beta of 0.0695 indicating as returns on the market go up, Red Hill average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Red Hill Iron will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Red Hill Iron has an alpha of 0.4545, implying that it can generate a 0.45 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Red Hill Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Red Hill

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Red Hill Iron. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1.594.096.59
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1.433.936.43
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
1.644.146.64
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
3.734.084.43
Details

Red Hill Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Red Hill is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Red Hill's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Red Hill Iron, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Red Hill within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.45
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.07
σ
Overall volatility
0.31
Ir
Information ratio 0.18

Red Hill Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Red Hill for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Red Hill Iron can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Red Hill Iron has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
About 82.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Red Hill Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Red Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Red Hill's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Red Hill's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding64.1 M
Cash And Short Term Investments22.4 M

Red Hill Technical Analysis

Red Hill's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Red Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Red Hill Iron. In general, you should focus on analyzing Red Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Red Hill Predictive Forecast Models

Red Hill's time-series forecasting models is one of many Red Hill's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Red Hill's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Red Hill Iron

Checking the ongoing alerts about Red Hill for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Red Hill Iron help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Red Hill Iron has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
About 82.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Additional Tools for Red Stock Analysis

When running Red Hill's price analysis, check to measure Red Hill's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Red Hill is operating at the current time. Most of Red Hill's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Red Hill's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Red Hill's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Red Hill to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.