Regency Centers Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 19.31
| REGCP Stock | 24.30 0.06 0.25% |
Regency |
Regency Centers Target Price Odds to finish below 19.31
The tendency of Regency Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 19.31 or more in 90 days |
| 24.30 | 90 days | 19.31 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Regency Centers to drop to 19.31 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Regency Centers probability density function shows the probability of Regency Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Regency Centers price to stay between 19.31 and its current price of 24.3 at the end of the 90-day period is about 13.66 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Regency Centers has the beta coefficient that is very close to zero indicating the returns on DOW JONES INDUSTRIAL and Regency Centers do not appear to be sensible. Additionally It does not look like Regency Centers' alpha can have any bearing on the current valuation. Regency Centers Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Regency Centers
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Regency Centers. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Regency Centers' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Regency Centers Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Regency Centers is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Regency Centers' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Regency Centers, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Regency Centers within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.00 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.00 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.32 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.14 |
Regency Centers Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Regency Centers for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Regency Centers can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Regency Centers has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Regency Centers has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| On 31st of October 2024 Regency Centers paid 0.3906 per share dividend to its current shareholders |
Regency Centers Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Regency Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Regency Centers' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Regency Centers' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 176.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 85 M |
Regency Centers Technical Analysis
Regency Centers' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Regency Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Regency Centers. In general, you should focus on analyzing Regency Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Regency Centers Predictive Forecast Models
Regency Centers' time-series forecasting models is one of many Regency Centers' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Regency Centers' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Regency Centers
Checking the ongoing alerts about Regency Centers for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Regency Centers help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Regency Centers has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Regency Centers has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| On 31st of October 2024 Regency Centers paid 0.3906 per share dividend to its current shareholders |
Additional Tools for Regency Stock Analysis
When running Regency Centers' price analysis, check to measure Regency Centers' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Regency Centers is operating at the current time. Most of Regency Centers' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Regency Centers' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Regency Centers' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Regency Centers to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.