Royal Caribbean (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 229.09

RC8 Stock  EUR 235.80  1.25  0.53%   
Royal Caribbean's future price is the expected price of Royal Caribbean instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Royal Caribbean Group performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Royal Caribbean Backtesting, Royal Caribbean Valuation, Royal Caribbean Correlation, Royal Caribbean Hype Analysis, Royal Caribbean Volatility, Royal Caribbean History as well as Royal Caribbean Performance.
  
Please specify Royal Caribbean's target price for which you would like Royal Caribbean odds to be computed.

Royal Caribbean Target Price Odds to finish below 229.09

The tendency of Royal Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to € 229.09  or more in 90 days
 235.80 90 days 229.09 
more than 93.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Royal Caribbean to drop to € 229.09  or more in 90 days from now is more than 93.0 (This Royal Caribbean Group probability density function shows the probability of Royal Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Royal Caribbean Group price to stay between € 229.09  and its current price of €235.8 at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 2.51 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Royal Caribbean has a beta of 0.23 indicating as returns on the market go up, Royal Caribbean average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Royal Caribbean Group will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Royal Caribbean Group has an alpha of 0.6989, implying that it can generate a 0.7 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Royal Caribbean Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Royal Caribbean

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Royal Caribbean Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
233.80235.80237.80
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
212.22250.87252.87
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
230.11232.12234.12
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
221.89227.58233.28
Details

Royal Caribbean Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Royal Caribbean is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Royal Caribbean's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Royal Caribbean Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Royal Caribbean within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.70
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.23
σ
Overall volatility
30.07
Ir
Information ratio 0.30

Royal Caribbean Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Royal Caribbean for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Royal Caribbean Group can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Royal Caribbean has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
Royal Caribbean Group has accumulated 21.3 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 94.1, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Royal Caribbean Group has a current ratio of 0.16, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Royal Caribbean until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Royal Caribbean's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Royal Caribbean Group sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Royal to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Royal Caribbean's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the revenue of 8.84 B. Net Loss for the year was (2.16 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 2.38 B.
Over 75.0% of Royal Caribbean shares are owned by institutional investors

Royal Caribbean Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Royal Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Royal Caribbean's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Royal Caribbean's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding255.2 M

Royal Caribbean Technical Analysis

Royal Caribbean's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Royal Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Royal Caribbean Group. In general, you should focus on analyzing Royal Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Royal Caribbean Predictive Forecast Models

Royal Caribbean's time-series forecasting models is one of many Royal Caribbean's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Royal Caribbean's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Royal Caribbean Group

Checking the ongoing alerts about Royal Caribbean for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Royal Caribbean Group help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Royal Caribbean has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
Royal Caribbean Group has accumulated 21.3 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 94.1, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Royal Caribbean Group has a current ratio of 0.16, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Royal Caribbean until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Royal Caribbean's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Royal Caribbean Group sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Royal to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Royal Caribbean's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the revenue of 8.84 B. Net Loss for the year was (2.16 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 2.38 B.
Over 75.0% of Royal Caribbean shares are owned by institutional investors

Other Information on Investing in Royal Stock

Royal Caribbean financial ratios help investors to determine whether Royal Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Royal with respect to the benefits of owning Royal Caribbean security.