Ral Yatirim (Turkey) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 271.80

RALYH Stock   278.00  3.25  1.16%   
Ral Yatirim's future price is the expected price of Ral Yatirim instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Ral Yatirim Holding performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Ral Yatirim Backtesting, Ral Yatirim Valuation, Ral Yatirim Correlation, Ral Yatirim Hype Analysis, Ral Yatirim Volatility, Ral Yatirim History as well as Ral Yatirim Performance.
  
Please specify Ral Yatirim's target price for which you would like Ral Yatirim odds to be computed.

Ral Yatirim Target Price Odds to finish over 271.80

The tendency of Ral Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above  271.80  in 90 days
 278.00 90 days 271.80 
about 42.09
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Ral Yatirim to stay above  271.80  in 90 days from now is about 42.09 (This Ral Yatirim Holding probability density function shows the probability of Ral Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Ral Yatirim Holding price to stay between  271.80  and its current price of 278.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 7.76 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Ral Yatirim Holding has a beta of -0.45 indicating as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Ral Yatirim are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Ral Yatirim Holding is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Ral Yatirim Holding has an alpha of 0.4583, implying that it can generate a 0.46 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Ral Yatirim Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Ral Yatirim

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ral Yatirim Holding. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
275.08278.00280.92
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
221.26224.17305.80
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Ral Yatirim. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Ral Yatirim's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Ral Yatirim's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Ral Yatirim Holding.

Ral Yatirim Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Ral Yatirim is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Ral Yatirim's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Ral Yatirim Holding, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Ral Yatirim within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.46
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.45
σ
Overall volatility
30.41
Ir
Information ratio 0.16

Ral Yatirim Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Ral Yatirim for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Ral Yatirim Holding can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Ral Yatirim generates negative cash flow from operations
About 63.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Ral Yatirim Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Ral Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Ral Yatirim's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Ral Yatirim's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding62.5 M

Ral Yatirim Technical Analysis

Ral Yatirim's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Ral Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Ral Yatirim Holding. In general, you should focus on analyzing Ral Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Ral Yatirim Predictive Forecast Models

Ral Yatirim's time-series forecasting models is one of many Ral Yatirim's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Ral Yatirim's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Ral Yatirim Holding

Checking the ongoing alerts about Ral Yatirim for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Ral Yatirim Holding help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Ral Yatirim generates negative cash flow from operations
About 63.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in Ral Stock

Ral Yatirim financial ratios help investors to determine whether Ral Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Ral with respect to the benefits of owning Ral Yatirim security.