Royal Caribbean (Brazil) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 439.88
| R1CL34 Stock | BRL 735.11 5.94 0.81% |
Royal |
Royal Caribbean Target Price Odds to finish below 439.88
The tendency of Royal Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to R$ 439.88 or more in 90 days |
| 735.11 | 90 days | 439.88 | roughly 2.99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Royal Caribbean to drop to R$ 439.88 or more in 90 days from now is roughly 2.99 (This Royal Caribbean Cruises probability density function shows the probability of Royal Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Royal Caribbean Cruises price to stay between R$ 439.88 and its current price of R$735.11 at the end of the 90-day period is about 84.12 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Royal Caribbean has a beta of 0.31 indicating as returns on the market go up, Royal Caribbean average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Royal Caribbean Cruises will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Royal Caribbean Cruises has an alpha of 0.6576, implying that it can generate a 0.66 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Royal Caribbean Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Royal Caribbean
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Royal Caribbean Cruises. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Royal Caribbean Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Royal Caribbean is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Royal Caribbean's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Royal Caribbean Cruises, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Royal Caribbean within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.66 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.31 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 98.01 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.31 |
Royal Caribbean Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Royal Caribbean for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Royal Caribbean Cruises can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| The company reported the revenue of 1.53 B. Net Loss for the year was (5.26 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 2.23 B. | |
| Royal Caribbean Cruises has accumulated about 5.09 B in cash with (1.88 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 10.0. |
Royal Caribbean Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Royal Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Royal Caribbean's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Royal Caribbean's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 254.8 M |
Royal Caribbean Technical Analysis
Royal Caribbean's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Royal Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Royal Caribbean Cruises. In general, you should focus on analyzing Royal Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Royal Caribbean Predictive Forecast Models
Royal Caribbean's time-series forecasting models is one of many Royal Caribbean's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Royal Caribbean's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Royal Caribbean Cruises
Checking the ongoing alerts about Royal Caribbean for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Royal Caribbean Cruises help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| The company reported the revenue of 1.53 B. Net Loss for the year was (5.26 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 2.23 B. | |
| Royal Caribbean Cruises has accumulated about 5.09 B in cash with (1.88 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 10.0. |
Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Royal Stock
When determining whether Royal Caribbean Cruises is a strong investment it is important to analyze Royal Caribbean's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Royal Caribbean's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Royal Stock, refer to the following important reports:Check out Royal Caribbean Backtesting, Royal Caribbean Valuation, Royal Caribbean Correlation, Royal Caribbean Hype Analysis, Royal Caribbean Volatility, Royal Caribbean History as well as Royal Caribbean Performance. You can also try the Portfolio Backtesting module to avoid under-diversification and over-optimization by backtesting your portfolios.