Quick Heal (India) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 653.05
| QUICKHEAL | 285.30 5.45 1.87% |
Quick |
Quick Heal Target Price Odds to finish below 653.05
The tendency of Quick Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 653.05 after 90 days |
| 285.30 | 90 days | 653.05 | about 88.12 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Quick Heal to stay under 653.05 after 90 days from now is about 88.12 (This Quick Heal Technologies probability density function shows the probability of Quick Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Quick Heal Technologies price to stay between its current price of 285.30 and 653.05 at the end of the 90-day period is about 82.08 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Quick Heal Technologies has a beta of -0.37 indicating as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Quick Heal are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Quick Heal Technologies is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Quick Heal Technologies has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Quick Heal Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Quick Heal
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Quick Heal Technologies. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Quick Heal Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Quick Heal is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Quick Heal's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Quick Heal Technologies, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Quick Heal within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -1.19 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.37 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 134.62 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.34 |
Quick Heal Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Quick Heal for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Quick Heal Technologies can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Quick Heal generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Quick Heal has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| About 76.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: QUICK HEAL TECHNOLOGIES Share Price Today Down 5 percent - Equitymaster |
Quick Heal Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Quick Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Quick Heal's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Quick Heal's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 54.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 2.2 B |
Quick Heal Technical Analysis
Quick Heal's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Quick Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Quick Heal Technologies. In general, you should focus on analyzing Quick Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Quick Heal Predictive Forecast Models
Quick Heal's time-series forecasting models is one of many Quick Heal's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Quick Heal's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Quick Heal Technologies
Checking the ongoing alerts about Quick Heal for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Quick Heal Technologies help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Quick Heal generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Quick Heal has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| About 76.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: QUICK HEAL TECHNOLOGIES Share Price Today Down 5 percent - Equitymaster |
Other Information on Investing in Quick Stock
Quick Heal financial ratios help investors to determine whether Quick Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Quick with respect to the benefits of owning Quick Heal security.