SOLOCAL GROUP (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 42.0

QS3 Stock   2.18  0.00  0.00%   
SOLOCAL GROUP's future price is the expected price of SOLOCAL GROUP instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of SOLOCAL GROUP performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out SOLOCAL GROUP Backtesting, SOLOCAL GROUP Valuation, SOLOCAL GROUP Correlation, SOLOCAL GROUP Hype Analysis, SOLOCAL GROUP Volatility, SOLOCAL GROUP History as well as SOLOCAL GROUP Performance.
  
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SOLOCAL GROUP Target Price Odds to finish over 42.0

The tendency of SOLOCAL Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  42.00  or more in 90 days
 2.18 90 days 42.00 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of SOLOCAL GROUP to move over  42.00  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This SOLOCAL GROUP probability density function shows the probability of SOLOCAL Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of SOLOCAL GROUP price to stay between its current price of  2.18  and  42.00  at the end of the 90-day period is about 34.37 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 4.68 indicating as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, SOLOCAL GROUP will likely underperform. In addition to that SOLOCAL GROUP has an alpha of 3.9696, implying that it can generate a 3.97 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   SOLOCAL GROUP Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for SOLOCAL GROUP

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as SOLOCAL GROUP. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.112.1841.09
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.101.9340.84
Details

SOLOCAL GROUP Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. SOLOCAL GROUP is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the SOLOCAL GROUP's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold SOLOCAL GROUP, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of SOLOCAL GROUP within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
3.97
β
Beta against Dow Jones4.68
σ
Overall volatility
0.82
Ir
Information ratio 0.11

SOLOCAL GROUP Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of SOLOCAL GROUP for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for SOLOCAL GROUP can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
SOLOCAL GROUP is way too risky over 90 days horizon
SOLOCAL GROUP appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues

SOLOCAL GROUP Technical Analysis

SOLOCAL GROUP's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. SOLOCAL Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of SOLOCAL GROUP. In general, you should focus on analyzing SOLOCAL Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

SOLOCAL GROUP Predictive Forecast Models

SOLOCAL GROUP's time-series forecasting models is one of many SOLOCAL GROUP's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary SOLOCAL GROUP's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about SOLOCAL GROUP

Checking the ongoing alerts about SOLOCAL GROUP for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for SOLOCAL GROUP help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
SOLOCAL GROUP is way too risky over 90 days horizon
SOLOCAL GROUP appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues

Other Information on Investing in SOLOCAL Stock

SOLOCAL GROUP financial ratios help investors to determine whether SOLOCAL Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in SOLOCAL with respect to the benefits of owning SOLOCAL GROUP security.