Qurate Retail Probability of Future Preferred Stock Price Finishing Under 40.0

QRTEPDelisted Preferred Stock  USD 39.91  0.69  1.76%   
Qurate Retail's future price is the expected price of Qurate Retail instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Qurate Retail performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Qurate Retail Backtesting, Qurate Retail Valuation, Qurate Retail Correlation, Qurate Retail Hype Analysis, Qurate Retail Volatility, Qurate Retail History as well as Qurate Retail Performance.
  
Please specify Qurate Retail's target price for which you would like Qurate Retail odds to be computed.

Qurate Retail Target Price Odds to finish below 40.0

The tendency of Qurate Preferred Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under $ 40.00  after 90 days
 39.91 90 days 40.00 
more than 93.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Qurate Retail to stay under $ 40.00  after 90 days from now is more than 93.0 (This Qurate Retail probability density function shows the probability of Qurate Preferred Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Qurate Retail price to stay between its current price of $ 39.91  and $ 40.00  at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Qurate Retail has a beta of -0.2 indicating as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Qurate Retail are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Qurate Retail is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Qurate Retail has an alpha of 0.0494, implying that it can generate a 0.0494 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Qurate Retail Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Qurate Retail

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Qurate Retail. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the preferred stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the preferred stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Qurate Retail's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
37.5039.9142.32
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
30.0232.4343.90
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
39.4941.9044.31
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
35.2637.5239.79
Details

Qurate Retail Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Qurate Retail is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Qurate Retail's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Qurate Retail, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Qurate Retail within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.05
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.2
σ
Overall volatility
2.08
Ir
Information ratio 0.03

Qurate Retail Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Qurate Retail for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Qurate Retail can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Qurate Retail is now traded under the symbol QVCGP. Please update your portfolios or report it if you believe this is an error. Report It!
Qurate Retail generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Qurate Retail has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years

Qurate Retail Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Qurate Preferred Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Qurate Retail's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Qurate Retail's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding379.3 M
Cash And Short Term Investments587 M

Qurate Retail Technical Analysis

Qurate Retail's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Qurate Preferred Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Qurate Retail. In general, you should focus on analyzing Qurate Preferred Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Qurate Retail Predictive Forecast Models

Qurate Retail's time-series forecasting models is one of many Qurate Retail's preferred stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Qurate Retail's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the preferred stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Qurate Retail

Checking the ongoing alerts about Qurate Retail for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Qurate Retail help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Qurate Retail is now traded under the symbol QVCGP. Please update your portfolios or report it if you believe this is an error. Report It!
Qurate Retail generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Qurate Retail has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years

Other Consideration for investing in Qurate Preferred Stock

If you are still planning to invest in Qurate Retail check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Qurate Retail's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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