QRF SCA (Belgium) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 9.39

QRF Stock  EUR 10.65  0.30  2.90%   
QRF SCA's future price is the expected price of QRF SCA instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of QRF SCA performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out QRF SCA Backtesting, QRF SCA Valuation, QRF SCA Correlation, QRF SCA Hype Analysis, QRF SCA Volatility, QRF SCA History as well as QRF SCA Performance.
  
Please specify QRF SCA's target price for which you would like QRF SCA odds to be computed.

QRF SCA Target Price Odds to finish below 9.39

The tendency of QRF Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to € 9.39  or more in 90 days
 10.65 90 days 9.39 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of QRF SCA to drop to € 9.39  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This QRF SCA probability density function shows the probability of QRF Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of QRF SCA price to stay between € 9.39  and its current price of €10.65 at the end of the 90-day period is about 23.15 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon QRF SCA has a beta of 0.0942 indicating as returns on the market go up, QRF SCA average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding QRF SCA will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally QRF SCA has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   QRF SCA Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for QRF SCA

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as QRF SCA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
8.8510.3511.85
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
9.1910.6912.19
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
9.0010.5012.00
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
10.3410.5010.66
Details

QRF SCA Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. QRF SCA is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the QRF SCA's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold QRF SCA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of QRF SCA within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.04
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.09
σ
Overall volatility
0.30
Ir
Information ratio -0.09

QRF SCA Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of QRF SCA for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for QRF SCA can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
QRF SCA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
QRF SCA has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
QRF SCA has accumulated 70.93 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 109.9, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. QRF SCA has a current ratio of 0.25, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist QRF SCA until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, QRF SCA's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like QRF SCA sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for QRF to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about QRF SCA's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
About 33.0% of QRF SCA outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

QRF SCA Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of QRF Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential QRF SCA's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. QRF SCA's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding7.3 M
Cash And Short Term Investments883 K

QRF SCA Technical Analysis

QRF SCA's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. QRF Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of QRF SCA. In general, you should focus on analyzing QRF Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

QRF SCA Predictive Forecast Models

QRF SCA's time-series forecasting models is one of many QRF SCA's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary QRF SCA's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about QRF SCA

Checking the ongoing alerts about QRF SCA for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for QRF SCA help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
QRF SCA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
QRF SCA has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
QRF SCA has accumulated 70.93 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 109.9, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. QRF SCA has a current ratio of 0.25, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist QRF SCA until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, QRF SCA's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like QRF SCA sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for QRF to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about QRF SCA's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
About 33.0% of QRF SCA outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Additional Tools for QRF Stock Analysis

When running QRF SCA's price analysis, check to measure QRF SCA's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy QRF SCA is operating at the current time. Most of QRF SCA's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of QRF SCA's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move QRF SCA's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of QRF SCA to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.