Pakistan Telecommunicatio (Pakistan) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 12.93

PTC Stock   26.59  0.62  2.28%   
Pakistan Telecommunicatio's future price is the expected price of Pakistan Telecommunicatio instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Pakistan Telecommunication performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Pakistan Telecommunicatio Backtesting, Pakistan Telecommunicatio Valuation, Pakistan Telecommunicatio Correlation, Pakistan Telecommunicatio Hype Analysis, Pakistan Telecommunicatio Volatility, Pakistan Telecommunicatio History as well as Pakistan Telecommunicatio Performance.
  
Please specify Pakistan Telecommunicatio's target price for which you would like Pakistan Telecommunicatio odds to be computed.

Pakistan Telecommunicatio Target Price Odds to finish over 12.93

The tendency of Pakistan Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above  12.93  in 90 days
 26.59 90 days 12.93 
about 78.33
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Pakistan Telecommunicatio to stay above  12.93  in 90 days from now is about 78.33 (This Pakistan Telecommunication probability density function shows the probability of Pakistan Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Pakistan Telecommunicatio price to stay between  12.93  and its current price of 26.59 at the end of the 90-day period is about 77.65 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Pakistan Telecommunication has a beta of -0.88 indicating Moreover Pakistan Telecommunication has an alpha of 1.3542, implying that it can generate a 1.35 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Pakistan Telecommunicatio Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Pakistan Telecommunicatio

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Pakistan Telecommunicatio. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
22.3826.5930.80
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
15.0819.2929.25
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
23.9528.1632.37
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
12.0319.8627.69
Details

Pakistan Telecommunicatio Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Pakistan Telecommunicatio is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Pakistan Telecommunicatio's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Pakistan Telecommunication, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Pakistan Telecommunicatio within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
1.35
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.88
σ
Overall volatility
4.20
Ir
Information ratio 0.28

Pakistan Telecommunicatio Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Pakistan Telecommunicatio for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Pakistan Telecommunicatio can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Pakistan Telecommunicatio appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues

Pakistan Telecommunicatio Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Pakistan Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Pakistan Telecommunicatio's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Pakistan Telecommunicatio's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding5.1 B
Dividends Paid1.2 M
Short Long Term Debt37 B

Pakistan Telecommunicatio Technical Analysis

Pakistan Telecommunicatio's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Pakistan Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Pakistan Telecommunication. In general, you should focus on analyzing Pakistan Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Pakistan Telecommunicatio Predictive Forecast Models

Pakistan Telecommunicatio's time-series forecasting models is one of many Pakistan Telecommunicatio's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Pakistan Telecommunicatio's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Pakistan Telecommunicatio

Checking the ongoing alerts about Pakistan Telecommunicatio for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Pakistan Telecommunicatio help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Pakistan Telecommunicatio appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues

Additional Tools for Pakistan Stock Analysis

When running Pakistan Telecommunicatio's price analysis, check to measure Pakistan Telecommunicatio's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Pakistan Telecommunicatio is operating at the current time. Most of Pakistan Telecommunicatio's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Pakistan Telecommunicatio's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Pakistan Telecommunicatio's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Pakistan Telecommunicatio to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.