Prosus NV (South Africa) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 62870.65

PRX Stock   75,624  139.00  0.18%   
Prosus NV's future price is the expected price of Prosus NV instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Prosus NV performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Prosus NV Backtesting, Prosus NV Valuation, Prosus NV Correlation, Prosus NV Hype Analysis, Prosus NV Volatility, Prosus NV History as well as Prosus NV Performance.
  
Please specify Prosus NV's target price for which you would like Prosus NV odds to be computed.

Prosus NV Target Price Odds to finish below 62870.65

The tendency of Prosus Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  62,871  or more in 90 days
 75,624 90 days 62,871 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Prosus NV to drop to  62,871  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Prosus NV probability density function shows the probability of Prosus Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Prosus NV price to stay between  62,871  and its current price of 75624.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 66.65 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Prosus NV has a beta of -0.0355 indicating as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Prosus NV are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Prosus NV is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Prosus NV has an alpha of 0.2127, implying that it can generate a 0.21 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Prosus NV Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Prosus NV

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Prosus NV. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
75,76175,76375,765
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
65,68465,68583,339
Details

Prosus NV Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Prosus NV is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Prosus NV's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Prosus NV, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Prosus NV within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.21
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.04
σ
Overall volatility
2,637
Ir
Information ratio 0.11

Prosus NV Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Prosus NV for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Prosus NV can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Prosus NV generates negative cash flow from operations
About 74.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors

Prosus NV Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Prosus Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Prosus NV's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Prosus NV's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares OutstandingB

Prosus NV Technical Analysis

Prosus NV's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Prosus Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Prosus NV. In general, you should focus on analyzing Prosus Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Prosus NV Predictive Forecast Models

Prosus NV's time-series forecasting models is one of many Prosus NV's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Prosus NV's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Prosus NV

Checking the ongoing alerts about Prosus NV for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Prosus NV help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Prosus NV generates negative cash flow from operations
About 74.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors

Other Information on Investing in Prosus Stock

Prosus NV financial ratios help investors to determine whether Prosus Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Prosus with respect to the benefits of owning Prosus NV security.