AFP Provida (Chile) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 2968.19
| PROVIDA Stock | CLP 4,200 15.30 0.37% |
AFP |
AFP Provida Target Price Odds to finish over 2968.19
The tendency of AFP Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above 2,968 in 90 days |
| 4,200 | 90 days | 2,968 | about 92.23 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of AFP Provida to stay above 2,968 in 90 days from now is about 92.23 (This AFP Provida probability density function shows the probability of AFP Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of AFP Provida price to stay between 2,968 and its current price of 4200.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 89.87 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon AFP Provida has a beta of 0.42 indicating as returns on the market go up, AFP Provida average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding AFP Provida will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally AFP Provida has an alpha of 0.4682, implying that it can generate a 0.47 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). AFP Provida Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for AFP Provida
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as AFP Provida. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.AFP Provida Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. AFP Provida is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the AFP Provida's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold AFP Provida, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of AFP Provida within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.47 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.42 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 361.59 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.24 |
AFP Provida Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of AFP Provida for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for AFP Provida can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| About 96.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
AFP Provida Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of AFP Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential AFP Provida's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. AFP Provida's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 328 M |
AFP Provida Technical Analysis
AFP Provida's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. AFP Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of AFP Provida. In general, you should focus on analyzing AFP Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
AFP Provida Predictive Forecast Models
AFP Provida's time-series forecasting models is one of many AFP Provida's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary AFP Provida's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about AFP Provida
Checking the ongoing alerts about AFP Provida for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for AFP Provida help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| About 96.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in AFP Stock
AFP Provida financial ratios help investors to determine whether AFP Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in AFP with respect to the benefits of owning AFP Provida security.