Power Mech (India) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 2521.58
| POWERMECH | 2,650 93.75 3.67% |
Power |
Power Mech Target Price Odds to finish below 2521.58
The tendency of Power Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 2,522 or more in 90 days |
| 2,650 | 90 days | 2,522 | about 6.38 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Power Mech to drop to 2,522 or more in 90 days from now is about 6.38 (This Power Mech Projects probability density function shows the probability of Power Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Power Mech Projects price to stay between 2,522 and its current price of 2650.15 at the end of the 90-day period is about 8.65 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Power Mech has a beta of 0.44 indicating as returns on the market go up, Power Mech average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Power Mech Projects will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Power Mech Projects has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Power Mech Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Power Mech
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Power Mech Projects. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Power Mech Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Power Mech is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Power Mech's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Power Mech Projects, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Power Mech within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.33 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.44 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 264.07 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.14 |
Power Mech Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Power Mech for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Power Mech Projects can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Power Mech Projects generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 58.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Power Mech Projects shares in focus on Rs 510 crore order from Adani Power - MSN |
Power Mech Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Power Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Power Mech's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Power Mech's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 30.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 524 M |
Power Mech Technical Analysis
Power Mech's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Power Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Power Mech Projects. In general, you should focus on analyzing Power Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Power Mech Predictive Forecast Models
Power Mech's time-series forecasting models is one of many Power Mech's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Power Mech's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Power Mech Projects
Checking the ongoing alerts about Power Mech for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Power Mech Projects help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Power Mech Projects generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 58.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Power Mech Projects shares in focus on Rs 510 crore order from Adani Power - MSN |
Other Information on Investing in Power Stock
Power Mech financial ratios help investors to determine whether Power Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Power with respect to the benefits of owning Power Mech security.