Power Metal (UK) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 30.56

POW Stock   14.63  0.38  2.67%   
Power Metal's future price is the expected price of Power Metal instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Power Metal Resources performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Power Metal Backtesting, Power Metal Valuation, Power Metal Correlation, Power Metal Hype Analysis, Power Metal Volatility, Power Metal History as well as Power Metal Performance.
  
Please specify Power Metal's target price for which you would like Power Metal odds to be computed.

Power Metal Target Price Odds to finish over 30.56

The tendency of Power Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  30.56  or more in 90 days
 14.63 90 days 30.56 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Power Metal to move over  30.56  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Power Metal Resources probability density function shows the probability of Power Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Power Metal Resources price to stay between its current price of  14.63  and  30.56  at the end of the 90-day period is about 38.7 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Power Metal Resources has a beta of -0.0267 indicating as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Power Metal are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Power Metal Resources is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Power Metal Resources has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Power Metal Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Power Metal

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Power Metal Resources. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
10.6314.2617.89
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
8.3912.0215.65
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
8.9612.5916.22
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
12.3014.2216.14
Details

Power Metal Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Power Metal is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Power Metal's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Power Metal Resources, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Power Metal within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.16
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.03
σ
Overall volatility
1.01
Ir
Information ratio -0.08

Power Metal Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Power Metal for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Power Metal Resources can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Power Metal generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Power Metal has high historical volatility and very poor performance
The company reported the revenue of 78 K. Net Loss for the year was (1.31 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 37 K.
Power Metal generates negative cash flow from operations
About 40.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Power Metal extends deal deadline with AMAK By Investing.com - Investing.com South Africa

Power Metal Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Power Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Power Metal's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Power Metal's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding92.1 M
Cash And Short Term Investments8.3 M

Power Metal Technical Analysis

Power Metal's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Power Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Power Metal Resources. In general, you should focus on analyzing Power Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Power Metal Predictive Forecast Models

Power Metal's time-series forecasting models is one of many Power Metal's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Power Metal's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Power Metal Resources

Checking the ongoing alerts about Power Metal for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Power Metal Resources help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Power Metal generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Power Metal has high historical volatility and very poor performance
The company reported the revenue of 78 K. Net Loss for the year was (1.31 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 37 K.
Power Metal generates negative cash flow from operations
About 40.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Power Metal extends deal deadline with AMAK By Investing.com - Investing.com South Africa

Other Information on Investing in Power Stock

Power Metal financial ratios help investors to determine whether Power Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Power with respect to the benefits of owning Power Metal security.