Portmeirion Group Plc Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 2.80

POTMF Stock  USD 2.80  0.00  0.00%   
Portmeirion Group's future price is the expected price of Portmeirion Group instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Portmeirion Group PLC performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Portmeirion Group Backtesting, Portmeirion Group Valuation, Portmeirion Group Correlation, Portmeirion Group Hype Analysis, Portmeirion Group Volatility, Portmeirion Group History as well as Portmeirion Group Performance.
  
Please specify Portmeirion Group's target price for which you would like Portmeirion Group odds to be computed.

Portmeirion Group Target Price Odds to finish over 2.80

The tendency of Portmeirion Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 2.80 90 days 2.80 
about 7.36
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Portmeirion Group to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 7.36 (This Portmeirion Group PLC probability density function shows the probability of Portmeirion Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Portmeirion Group PLC has a beta of -0.0229 indicating as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Portmeirion Group are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Portmeirion Group PLC is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Portmeirion Group PLC has an alpha of 0.0084, implying that it can generate a 0.008434 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Portmeirion Group Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Portmeirion Group

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Portmeirion Group PLC. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
2.702.802.90
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
2.582.683.08
Details

Portmeirion Group Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Portmeirion Group is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Portmeirion Group's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Portmeirion Group PLC, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Portmeirion Group within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.02
σ
Overall volatility
0.01
Ir
Information ratio -0.85

Portmeirion Group Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Portmeirion Group for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Portmeirion Group PLC can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 42.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Portmeirion Group Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Portmeirion Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Portmeirion Group's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Portmeirion Group's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Float Shares10.42M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day10k
Average Daily Volume In Three Month824

Portmeirion Group Technical Analysis

Portmeirion Group's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Portmeirion Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Portmeirion Group PLC. In general, you should focus on analyzing Portmeirion Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Portmeirion Group Predictive Forecast Models

Portmeirion Group's time-series forecasting models is one of many Portmeirion Group's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Portmeirion Group's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Portmeirion Group PLC

Checking the ongoing alerts about Portmeirion Group for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Portmeirion Group PLC help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 42.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in Portmeirion Pink Sheet

Portmeirion Group financial ratios help investors to determine whether Portmeirion Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Portmeirion with respect to the benefits of owning Portmeirion Group security.