PNC Infratech (India) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 281.43
| PNCINFRA | 328.20 1.90 0.58% |
PNC |
PNC Infratech Target Price Odds to finish below 281.43
The tendency of PNC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 281.43 or more in 90 days |
| 328.20 | 90 days | 281.43 | about 12.33 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of PNC Infratech to drop to 281.43 or more in 90 days from now is about 12.33 (This PNC Infratech Limited probability density function shows the probability of PNC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of PNC Infratech Limited price to stay between 281.43 and its current price of 328.2 at the end of the 90-day period is about 23.57 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon PNC Infratech has a beta of 0.0721 indicating as returns on the market go up, PNC Infratech average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding PNC Infratech Limited will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally PNC Infratech Limited has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. PNC Infratech Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for PNC Infratech
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as PNC Infratech Limited. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.PNC Infratech Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. PNC Infratech is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the PNC Infratech's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold PNC Infratech Limited, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of PNC Infratech within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.37 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.07 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 58.73 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.1 |
PNC Infratech Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of PNC Infratech for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for PNC Infratech Limited can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| PNC Infratech generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| PNC Infratech has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| PNC Infratech is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| PNC Infratech Limited has accumulated about 1.41 B in cash with (2.31 B) of positive cash flow from operations. | |
| Roughly 56.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: PNC Infratech Stock Downgraded to Sell Following 74.4 percent Decline in PAT - MarketsMojo |
PNC Infratech Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of PNC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential PNC Infratech's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. PNC Infratech's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 256.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 17.9 B |
PNC Infratech Technical Analysis
PNC Infratech's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. PNC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of PNC Infratech Limited. In general, you should focus on analyzing PNC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
PNC Infratech Predictive Forecast Models
PNC Infratech's time-series forecasting models is one of many PNC Infratech's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary PNC Infratech's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about PNC Infratech Limited
Checking the ongoing alerts about PNC Infratech for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for PNC Infratech Limited help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| PNC Infratech generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| PNC Infratech has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| PNC Infratech is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| PNC Infratech Limited has accumulated about 1.41 B in cash with (2.31 B) of positive cash flow from operations. | |
| Roughly 56.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: PNC Infratech Stock Downgraded to Sell Following 74.4 percent Decline in PAT - MarketsMojo |
Additional Tools for PNC Stock Analysis
When running PNC Infratech's price analysis, check to measure PNC Infratech's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy PNC Infratech is operating at the current time. Most of PNC Infratech's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of PNC Infratech's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move PNC Infratech's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of PNC Infratech to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.