AFP Planvital (Chile) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 149.98
| PLANVITAL | CLP 162.90 6.53 4.18% |
AFP |
AFP Planvital Target Price Odds to finish over 149.98
The tendency of AFP Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above 149.98 in 90 days |
| 162.90 | 90 days | 149.98 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of AFP Planvital to stay above 149.98 in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This AFP Planvital SA probability density function shows the probability of AFP Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of AFP Planvital SA price to stay between 149.98 and its current price of 162.9 at the end of the 90-day period is close to 99 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon AFP Planvital SA has a beta of -0.0669 indicating as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding AFP Planvital are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, AFP Planvital SA is likely to outperform the market. Additionally AFP Planvital SA has an alpha of 0.0464, implying that it can generate a 0.0464 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). AFP Planvital Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for AFP Planvital
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as AFP Planvital SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of AFP Planvital's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
AFP Planvital Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. AFP Planvital is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the AFP Planvital's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold AFP Planvital SA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of AFP Planvital within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.05 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.07 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.11 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.15 |
AFP Planvital Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of AFP Planvital for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for AFP Planvital SA can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| AFP Planvital SA has accumulated about 26.04 B in cash with (97.38 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 12.78. | |
| Roughly 99.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
AFP Planvital Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of AFP Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential AFP Planvital's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. AFP Planvital's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 2 B |
AFP Planvital Technical Analysis
AFP Planvital's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. AFP Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of AFP Planvital SA. In general, you should focus on analyzing AFP Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
AFP Planvital Predictive Forecast Models
AFP Planvital's time-series forecasting models is one of many AFP Planvital's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary AFP Planvital's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about AFP Planvital SA
Checking the ongoing alerts about AFP Planvital for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for AFP Planvital SA help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| AFP Planvital SA has accumulated about 26.04 B in cash with (97.38 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 12.78. | |
| Roughly 99.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Additional Tools for AFP Stock Analysis
When running AFP Planvital's price analysis, check to measure AFP Planvital's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy AFP Planvital is operating at the current time. Most of AFP Planvital's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of AFP Planvital's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move AFP Planvital's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of AFP Planvital to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.