Pine Cliff Energy Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 3.75

PIFYF Stock  USD 0.64  0.01  1.59%   
Pine Cliff's future price is the expected price of Pine Cliff instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Pine Cliff Energy performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Pine Cliff Backtesting, Pine Cliff Valuation, Pine Cliff Correlation, Pine Cliff Hype Analysis, Pine Cliff Volatility, Pine Cliff History as well as Pine Cliff Performance.
  
Please specify Pine Cliff's target price for which you would like Pine Cliff odds to be computed.

Pine Cliff Target Price Odds to finish over 3.75

The tendency of Pine Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 3.75  or more in 90 days
 0.64 90 days 3.75 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Pine Cliff to move over $ 3.75  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Pine Cliff Energy probability density function shows the probability of Pine Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Pine Cliff Energy price to stay between its current price of $ 0.64  and $ 3.75  at the end of the 90-day period is about 71.69 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Pine Cliff has a beta of 0.26 indicating as returns on the market go up, Pine Cliff average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Pine Cliff Energy will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Pine Cliff Energy has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Pine Cliff Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Pine Cliff

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Pine Cliff Energy. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Pine Cliff's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.030.643.75
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.030.553.66
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.010.653.76
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.590.620.66
Details

Pine Cliff Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Pine Cliff is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Pine Cliff's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Pine Cliff Energy, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Pine Cliff within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.07
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.26
σ
Overall volatility
0.05
Ir
Information ratio -0.06

Pine Cliff Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Pine Cliff for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Pine Cliff Energy can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Pine Cliff Energy generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Pine Cliff Energy has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Pine Cliff Energy has high historical volatility and very poor performance
About 21.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Pine Cliff Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Pine Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Pine Cliff's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Pine Cliff's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding339.5 M

Pine Cliff Technical Analysis

Pine Cliff's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Pine Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Pine Cliff Energy. In general, you should focus on analyzing Pine Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Pine Cliff Predictive Forecast Models

Pine Cliff's time-series forecasting models is one of many Pine Cliff's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Pine Cliff's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Pine Cliff Energy

Checking the ongoing alerts about Pine Cliff for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Pine Cliff Energy help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Pine Cliff Energy generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Pine Cliff Energy has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Pine Cliff Energy has high historical volatility and very poor performance
About 21.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in Pine Pink Sheet

Pine Cliff financial ratios help investors to determine whether Pine Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Pine with respect to the benefits of owning Pine Cliff security.