Phuoc Hoa (Vietnam) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 59,328

PHR Stock   58,600  500.00  0.85%   
Phuoc Hoa's future price is the expected price of Phuoc Hoa instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Phuoc Hoa Rubber performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Phuoc Hoa Backtesting, Phuoc Hoa Valuation, Phuoc Hoa Correlation, Phuoc Hoa Hype Analysis, Phuoc Hoa Volatility, Phuoc Hoa History as well as Phuoc Hoa Performance.
  
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Phuoc Hoa Target Price Odds to finish over 59,328

The tendency of Phuoc Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 58,600 90 days 58,600 
about 23.73
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Phuoc Hoa to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 23.73 (This Phuoc Hoa Rubber probability density function shows the probability of Phuoc Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Phuoc Hoa has a beta of 0.079 indicating as returns on the market go up, Phuoc Hoa average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Phuoc Hoa Rubber will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Phuoc Hoa Rubber has an alpha of 0.0094, implying that it can generate a 0.009421 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Phuoc Hoa Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Phuoc Hoa

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Phuoc Hoa Rubber. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
58,59958,60058,601
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
55,12255,12464,460
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
59,32559,32659,328
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
55,72557,58659,446
Details

Phuoc Hoa Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Phuoc Hoa is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Phuoc Hoa's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Phuoc Hoa Rubber, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Phuoc Hoa within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.08
σ
Overall volatility
1,598
Ir
Information ratio -0.08

Phuoc Hoa Technical Analysis

Phuoc Hoa's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Phuoc Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Phuoc Hoa Rubber. In general, you should focus on analyzing Phuoc Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Phuoc Hoa Predictive Forecast Models

Phuoc Hoa's time-series forecasting models is one of many Phuoc Hoa's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Phuoc Hoa's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Phuoc Hoa in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Phuoc Hoa's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Phuoc Hoa options trading.

Other Information on Investing in Phuoc Stock

Phuoc Hoa financial ratios help investors to determine whether Phuoc Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Phuoc with respect to the benefits of owning Phuoc Hoa security.