Phio Pharmaceuticals Corp Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 20.89
| PHIO Stock | USD 2.51 0.19 7.04% |
Phio |
Phio Pharmaceuticals Target Price Odds to finish over 20.89
The tendency of Phio Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 20.89 or more in 90 days |
| 2.51 | 90 days | 20.89 | close to zero percent |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Phio Pharmaceuticals to move over $ 20.89 or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Phio Pharmaceuticals Corp probability density function shows the probability of Phio Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Phio Pharmaceuticals Corp price to stay between its current price of $ 2.51 and $ 20.89 at the end of the 90-day period is about 87.74 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Phio Pharmaceuticals has a beta of 0.62 indicating as returns on the market go up, Phio Pharmaceuticals average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Phio Pharmaceuticals Corp will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Phio Pharmaceuticals Corp has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Phio Pharmaceuticals Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Phio Pharmaceuticals
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Phio Pharmaceuticals Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Phio Pharmaceuticals Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Phio Pharmaceuticals is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Phio Pharmaceuticals' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Phio Pharmaceuticals Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Phio Pharmaceuticals within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.17 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.62 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.37 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.03 |
Phio Pharmaceuticals Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Phio Pharmaceuticals for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Phio Pharmaceuticals Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Phio Pharmaceuticals generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Phio Pharmaceuticals has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Net Loss for the year was (10.83 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (7.01 M). | |
| Phio Pharmaceuticals Corp currently holds about 18.02 M in cash with (10.75 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.32. | |
| Phio Pharmaceuticals has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Phio Pharmaceuticals Announces Publication in Frontiers in Immunology |
Phio Pharmaceuticals Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Phio Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Phio Pharmaceuticals' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Phio Pharmaceuticals' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 231.5 K | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 8.5 M |
Phio Pharmaceuticals Technical Analysis
Phio Pharmaceuticals' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Phio Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Phio Pharmaceuticals Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Phio Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Phio Pharmaceuticals Predictive Forecast Models
Phio Pharmaceuticals' time-series forecasting models is one of many Phio Pharmaceuticals' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Phio Pharmaceuticals' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Phio Pharmaceuticals Corp
Checking the ongoing alerts about Phio Pharmaceuticals for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Phio Pharmaceuticals Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Phio Pharmaceuticals generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Phio Pharmaceuticals has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Net Loss for the year was (10.83 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (7.01 M). | |
| Phio Pharmaceuticals Corp currently holds about 18.02 M in cash with (10.75 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.32. | |
| Phio Pharmaceuticals has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Phio Pharmaceuticals Announces Publication in Frontiers in Immunology |
Check out Phio Pharmaceuticals Backtesting, Phio Pharmaceuticals Valuation, Phio Pharmaceuticals Correlation, Phio Pharmaceuticals Hype Analysis, Phio Pharmaceuticals Volatility, Phio Pharmaceuticals History as well as Phio Pharmaceuticals Performance. You can also try the Money Flow Index module to determine momentum by analyzing Money Flow Index and other technical indicators.
Is Biotechnology space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Phio Pharmaceuticals. If investors know Phio will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Phio Pharmaceuticals listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (14.81) | Return On Assets (0.61) | Return On Equity (1.27) |
The market value of Phio Pharmaceuticals Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Phio that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Phio Pharmaceuticals' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Phio Pharmaceuticals' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Phio Pharmaceuticals' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Phio Pharmaceuticals' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Phio Pharmaceuticals' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Phio Pharmaceuticals is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Phio Pharmaceuticals' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.