Photocure Asa Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 4.48
| PHCUF Stock | USD 5.60 1.12 25.00% |
Photocure |
Photocure ASA Target Price Odds to finish over 4.48
The tendency of Photocure Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above $ 4.48 in 90 days |
| 5.60 | 90 days | 4.48 | about 58.99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Photocure ASA to stay above $ 4.48 in 90 days from now is about 58.99 (This Photocure ASA probability density function shows the probability of Photocure Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Photocure ASA price to stay between $ 4.48 and its current price of $5.6 at the end of the 90-day period is about 58.99 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Photocure ASA has a beta of -0.15 indicating as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Photocure ASA are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Photocure ASA is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Photocure ASA has an alpha of 0.3981, implying that it can generate a 0.4 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Photocure ASA Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Photocure ASA
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Photocure ASA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Photocure ASA's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Photocure ASA Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Photocure ASA is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Photocure ASA's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Photocure ASA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Photocure ASA within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.40 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.15 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.22 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.1 |
Photocure ASA Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Photocure ASA for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Photocure ASA can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Photocure ASA had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the revenue of 360.54 M. Net Loss for the year was (30.9 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 336.49 M. |
Photocure ASA Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Photocure Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Photocure ASA's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Photocure ASA's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 27 M |
Photocure ASA Technical Analysis
Photocure ASA's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Photocure Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Photocure ASA. In general, you should focus on analyzing Photocure Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Photocure ASA Predictive Forecast Models
Photocure ASA's time-series forecasting models is one of many Photocure ASA's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Photocure ASA's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Photocure ASA
Checking the ongoing alerts about Photocure ASA for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Photocure ASA help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Photocure ASA had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the revenue of 360.54 M. Net Loss for the year was (30.9 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 336.49 M. |
Other Information on Investing in Photocure Pink Sheet
Photocure ASA financial ratios help investors to determine whether Photocure Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Photocure with respect to the benefits of owning Photocure ASA security.