Pimco Inflation Response Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 8.31

PFRMX Fund   8.35  0.03  0.36%   
Pimco Inflation's future price is the expected price of Pimco Inflation instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Pimco Inflation Response performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Pimco Inflation Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Pimco Inflation Correlation, Pimco Inflation Hype Analysis, Pimco Inflation Volatility, Pimco Inflation History as well as Pimco Inflation Performance.
  
Please specify Pimco Inflation's target price for which you would like Pimco Inflation odds to be computed.

Pimco Inflation Target Price Odds to finish over 8.31

The tendency of Pimco Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above  8.31  in 90 days
 8.35 90 days 8.31 
about 85.6
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Pimco Inflation to stay above  8.31  in 90 days from now is about 85.6 (This Pimco Inflation Response probability density function shows the probability of Pimco Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Pimco Inflation Response price to stay between  8.31  and its current price of 8.35 at the end of the 90-day period is about 15.36 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Pimco Inflation has a beta of 0.0521 indicating as returns on the market go up, Pimco Inflation average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Pimco Inflation Response will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Pimco Inflation Response has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Pimco Inflation Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Pimco Inflation

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Pimco Inflation Response. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
8.028.358.68
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
8.028.358.68
Details

Pimco Inflation Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Pimco Inflation is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Pimco Inflation's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Pimco Inflation Response, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Pimco Inflation within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.05
σ
Overall volatility
0.08
Ir
Information ratio -0.29

Pimco Inflation Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Pimco Inflation for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Pimco Inflation Response can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Pimco Inflation generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The fund maintains all of the assets in different exotic instruments

Pimco Inflation Technical Analysis

Pimco Inflation's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Pimco Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Pimco Inflation Response. In general, you should focus on analyzing Pimco Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Pimco Inflation Predictive Forecast Models

Pimco Inflation's time-series forecasting models is one of many Pimco Inflation's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Pimco Inflation's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Pimco Inflation Response

Checking the ongoing alerts about Pimco Inflation for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Pimco Inflation Response help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Pimco Inflation generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The fund maintains all of the assets in different exotic instruments

Other Information on Investing in Pimco Mutual Fund

Pimco Inflation financial ratios help investors to determine whether Pimco Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Pimco with respect to the benefits of owning Pimco Inflation security.
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