Pimco Energy Tactical Fund Probability of Future Fund Price Finishing Over 21.69
| PDX Fund | 27.62 4.14 13.04% |
Pimco |
Pimco Energy Target Price Odds to finish over 21.69
The tendency of Pimco Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above 21.69 in 90 days |
| 27.62 | 90 days | 21.69 | more than 94.0 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Pimco Energy to stay above 21.69 in 90 days from now is more than 94.0 (This Pimco Energy Tactical probability density function shows the probability of Pimco Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Pimco Energy Tactical price to stay between 21.69 and its current price of 27.62 at the end of the 90-day period is about 76.08 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Pimco Energy has a beta of 0.68 indicating as returns on the market go up, Pimco Energy average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Pimco Energy Tactical will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Pimco Energy Tactical has an alpha of 0.2987, implying that it can generate a 0.3 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Pimco Energy Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Pimco Energy
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Pimco Energy Tactical. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Pimco Energy's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Pimco Energy Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Pimco Energy is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Pimco Energy's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Pimco Energy Tactical, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Pimco Energy within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.30 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.68 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.40 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.09 |
Pimco Energy Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Pimco Energy for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Pimco Energy Tactical can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Pimco Energy had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: PDX Neither The NAV Nor The Market Has Fully Priced In The Venture Global IPO - Seeking Alpha |
Pimco Energy Technical Analysis
Pimco Energy's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Pimco Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Pimco Energy Tactical. In general, you should focus on analyzing Pimco Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Pimco Energy Predictive Forecast Models
Pimco Energy's time-series forecasting models is one of many Pimco Energy's fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Pimco Energy's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Pimco Energy Tactical
Checking the ongoing alerts about Pimco Energy for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Pimco Energy Tactical help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Pimco Energy had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: PDX Neither The NAV Nor The Market Has Fully Priced In The Venture Global IPO - Seeking Alpha |
Other Information on Investing in Pimco Fund
Pimco Energy financial ratios help investors to determine whether Pimco Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Pimco with respect to the benefits of owning Pimco Energy security.
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