Precision Drilling Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 100.70

PD Stock  CAD 81.50  1.10  1.37%   
Precision Drilling's future price is the expected price of Precision Drilling instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Precision Drilling performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Precision Drilling Backtesting, Precision Drilling Valuation, Precision Drilling Correlation, Precision Drilling Hype Analysis, Precision Drilling Volatility, Precision Drilling History as well as Precision Drilling Performance.
To learn how to invest in Precision Stock, please use our How to Invest in Precision Drilling guide.
  
As of the 22nd of December 2024, Price To Free Cash Flows Ratio is likely to grow to 3.80, while Price To Sales Ratio is likely to drop 0.49. Please specify Precision Drilling's target price for which you would like Precision Drilling odds to be computed.

Precision Drilling Target Price Odds to finish below 100.70

The tendency of Precision Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under C$ 100.70  after 90 days
 81.50 90 days 100.70 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Precision Drilling to stay under C$ 100.70  after 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Precision Drilling probability density function shows the probability of Precision Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Precision Drilling price to stay between its current price of C$ 81.50  and C$ 100.70  at the end of the 90-day period is about 91.86 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Precision Drilling has a beta of 0.15 indicating as returns on the market go up, Precision Drilling average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Precision Drilling will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Precision Drilling has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Precision Drilling Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Precision Drilling

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Precision Drilling. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Precision Drilling's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
79.2481.3683.48
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
69.9272.0489.65
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
81.7283.8485.96
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
2.102.262.73
Details

Precision Drilling Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Precision Drilling is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Precision Drilling's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Precision Drilling, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Precision Drilling within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.16
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.15
σ
Overall volatility
3.16
Ir
Information ratio -0.08

Precision Drilling Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Precision Drilling for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Precision Drilling can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Precision Drilling generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Precision Drilling has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
About 57.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from news.google.com: Precision Drilling Corp Shares Gap Down to 59.065 on Dec 6 - GuruFocus.com

Precision Drilling Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Precision Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Precision Drilling's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Precision Drilling's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding15.3 M
Cash And Short Term Investments54.2 M

Precision Drilling Technical Analysis

Precision Drilling's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Precision Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Precision Drilling. In general, you should focus on analyzing Precision Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Precision Drilling Predictive Forecast Models

Precision Drilling's time-series forecasting models is one of many Precision Drilling's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Precision Drilling's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Precision Drilling

Checking the ongoing alerts about Precision Drilling for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Precision Drilling help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Precision Drilling generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Precision Drilling has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
About 57.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from news.google.com: Precision Drilling Corp Shares Gap Down to 59.065 on Dec 6 - GuruFocus.com
When determining whether Precision Drilling is a strong investment it is important to analyze Precision Drilling's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Precision Drilling's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Precision Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Please note, there is a significant difference between Precision Drilling's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Precision Drilling is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Precision Drilling's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.