PG E (Germany) Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 20.45

PCG6 Stock  EUR 21.80  0.20  0.91%   
PG E's future price is the expected price of PG E instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of PG E P6 performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out PG E Backtesting, PG E Valuation, PG E Correlation, PG E Hype Analysis, PG E Volatility, PG E History as well as PG E Performance.
  
Please specify PG E's target price for which you would like PG E odds to be computed.

PG E Target Price Odds to finish below 20.45

The tendency of PCG6 Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to € 20.45  or more in 90 days
 21.80 90 days 20.45 
under 4
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of PG E to drop to € 20.45  or more in 90 days from now is under 4 (This PG E P6 probability density function shows the probability of PCG6 Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of PG E P6 price to stay between € 20.45  and its current price of €21.8 at the end of the 90-day period is about 66.13 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon PG E has a beta of 0.12 indicating as returns on the market go up, PG E average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding PG E P6 will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally PG E P6 has an alpha of 0.091, implying that it can generate a 0.091 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   PG E Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for PG E

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as PG E P6. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
20.6921.8022.91
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
20.4521.5622.67
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
20.8922.0023.11
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
21.5621.9422.32
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as PG E. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against PG E's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, PG E's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in PG E P6.

PG E Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. PG E is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the PG E's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold PG E P6, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of PG E within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.09
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.12
σ
Overall volatility
0.59
Ir
Information ratio 0.06

PG E Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of PG E for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for PG E P6 can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
PG E P6 has accumulated 37.8 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.47, which is about average as compared to similar companies. PG E P6 has a current ratio of 0.73, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist PG E until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, PG E's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like PG E P6 sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for PCG6 to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about PG E's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
PG E P6 has accumulated about 127 M in cash with (19.38 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.48.

PG E Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of PCG6 Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential PG E's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. PG E's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Dividend Yield0.0701
Forward Annual Dividend Rate1.38

PG E Technical Analysis

PG E's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. PCG6 Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of PG E P6. In general, you should focus on analyzing PCG6 Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

PG E Predictive Forecast Models

PG E's time-series forecasting models is one of many PG E's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary PG E's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about PG E P6

Checking the ongoing alerts about PG E for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for PG E P6 help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
PG E P6 has accumulated 37.8 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.47, which is about average as compared to similar companies. PG E P6 has a current ratio of 0.73, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist PG E until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, PG E's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like PG E P6 sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for PCG6 to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about PG E's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
PG E P6 has accumulated about 127 M in cash with (19.38 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.48.

Other Information on Investing in PCG6 Stock

PG E financial ratios help investors to determine whether PCG6 Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in PCG6 with respect to the benefits of owning PG E security.