Publity AG (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 20.58
| PBY Stock | EUR 0.45 0.05 10.00% |
Publity |
Publity AG Target Price Odds to finish over 20.58
The tendency of Publity Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over € 20.58 or more in 90 days |
| 0.45 | 90 days | 20.58 | close to zero percent |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Publity AG to move over € 20.58 or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Publity AG probability density function shows the probability of Publity Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Publity AG price to stay between its current price of € 0.45 and € 20.58 at the end of the 90-day period is about 17.04 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 7.24 indicating as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Publity AG will likely underperform. In addition to that Publity AG has an alpha of 3.0461, implying that it can generate a 3.05 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Publity AG Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Publity AG
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Publity AG. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Publity AG Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Publity AG is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Publity AG's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Publity AG, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Publity AG within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 3.05 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 7.24 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.09 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.14 |
Publity AG Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Publity AG for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Publity AG can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Publity AG is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Publity AG has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Publity AG appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues |
Publity AG Technical Analysis
Publity AG's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Publity Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Publity AG. In general, you should focus on analyzing Publity Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Publity AG Predictive Forecast Models
Publity AG's time-series forecasting models is one of many Publity AG's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Publity AG's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Publity AG
Checking the ongoing alerts about Publity AG for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Publity AG help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Publity AG is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Publity AG has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Publity AG appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues |
Additional Tools for Publity Stock Analysis
When running Publity AG's price analysis, check to measure Publity AG's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Publity AG is operating at the current time. Most of Publity AG's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Publity AG's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Publity AG's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Publity AG to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.