Phibro Animal (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 17.51
| PB8 Stock | EUR 20.00 0.00 0.00% |
Phibro |
Phibro Animal Target Price Odds to finish below 17.51
The tendency of Phibro Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to € 17.51 or more in 90 days |
| 20.00 | 90 days | 17.51 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Phibro Animal to drop to € 17.51 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Phibro Animal Health probability density function shows the probability of Phibro Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Phibro Animal Health price to stay between € 17.51 and its current price of €20.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 12.2 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Phibro Animal Health has a beta of -0.77 indicating as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Phibro Animal are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Phibro Animal Health is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Phibro Animal Health has an alpha of 0.0665, implying that it can generate a 0.0665 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Phibro Animal Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Phibro Animal
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Phibro Animal Health. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Phibro Animal Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Phibro Animal is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Phibro Animal's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Phibro Animal Health, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Phibro Animal within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.07 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.77 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.17 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.02 |
Phibro Animal Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Phibro Animal for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Phibro Animal Health can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Over 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors |
Phibro Animal Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Phibro Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Phibro Animal's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Phibro Animal's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 40.5 M |
Phibro Animal Technical Analysis
Phibro Animal's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Phibro Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Phibro Animal Health. In general, you should focus on analyzing Phibro Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Phibro Animal Predictive Forecast Models
Phibro Animal's time-series forecasting models is one of many Phibro Animal's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Phibro Animal's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Phibro Animal Health
Checking the ongoing alerts about Phibro Animal for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Phibro Animal Health help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Over 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors |
Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Phibro Stock
When determining whether Phibro Animal Health offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Phibro Animal's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Phibro Animal Health Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Phibro Animal Health Stock:Check out Phibro Animal Backtesting, Phibro Animal Valuation, Phibro Animal Correlation, Phibro Animal Hype Analysis, Phibro Animal Volatility, Phibro Animal History as well as Phibro Animal Performance. You can also try the Stock Screener module to find equities using a custom stock filter or screen asymmetry in trading patterns, price, volume, or investment outlook..