Pangaea Logistic Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 5.75

PANL Stock  USD 5.54  0.29  4.97%   
Pangaea Logistic's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Pangaea Logistic. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Pangaea Logistic based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Pangaea Logistic over a specific time period. For example, PANL Option Call 20-12-2024 5 is a CALL option contract on Pangaea Logistic's common stock with a strick price of 5.0 expiring on 2024-12-20. The contract was last traded on 2024-11-13 at 13:11:28 for $1.35 and, as of today, has 15 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at an ask price of $0.75. The implied volatility as of the 5th of December is 15.0. View All Pangaea options

Closest to current price Pangaea long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Pangaea Logistic's future price is the expected price of Pangaea Logistic instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Pangaea Logistic performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Pangaea Logistic Backtesting, Pangaea Logistic Valuation, Pangaea Logistic Correlation, Pangaea Logistic Hype Analysis, Pangaea Logistic Volatility, Pangaea Logistic History as well as Pangaea Logistic Performance.
For more information on how to buy Pangaea Stock please use our How to buy in Pangaea Stock guide.
  
At this time, Pangaea Logistic's Price To Sales Ratio is quite stable compared to the past year. Price To Operating Cash Flows Ratio is expected to rise to 7.20 this year, although Price Book Value Ratio will most likely fall to 0.66. Please specify Pangaea Logistic's target price for which you would like Pangaea Logistic odds to be computed.

Pangaea Logistic Target Price Odds to finish over 5.75

The tendency of Pangaea Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 5.75  or more in 90 days
 5.54 90 days 5.75 
about 91.78
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Pangaea Logistic to move over $ 5.75  or more in 90 days from now is about 91.78 (This Pangaea Logistic probability density function shows the probability of Pangaea Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Pangaea Logistic price to stay between its current price of $ 5.54  and $ 5.75  at the end of the 90-day period is about 5.37 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Pangaea Logistic has a beta of 0.7 indicating as returns on the market go up, Pangaea Logistic average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Pangaea Logistic will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Pangaea Logistic has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Pangaea Logistic Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Pangaea Logistic

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Pangaea Logistic. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
3.095.547.99
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
4.667.119.56
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
2.955.407.85
Details
3 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
7.518.259.16
Details

Pangaea Logistic Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Pangaea Logistic is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Pangaea Logistic's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Pangaea Logistic, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Pangaea Logistic within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.31
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.70
σ
Overall volatility
0.41
Ir
Information ratio -0.14

Pangaea Logistic Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Pangaea Logistic for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Pangaea Logistic can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Pangaea Logistic generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 37.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from simplywall.st: Pangaea Connectivity Technology First Half 2025 Earnings EPS HK0.015

Pangaea Logistic Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Pangaea Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Pangaea Logistic's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Pangaea Logistic's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding45.5 M
Cash And Short Term Investments99 M

Pangaea Logistic Technical Analysis

Pangaea Logistic's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Pangaea Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Pangaea Logistic. In general, you should focus on analyzing Pangaea Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Pangaea Logistic Predictive Forecast Models

Pangaea Logistic's time-series forecasting models is one of many Pangaea Logistic's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Pangaea Logistic's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Pangaea Logistic

Checking the ongoing alerts about Pangaea Logistic for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Pangaea Logistic help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Pangaea Logistic generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 37.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from simplywall.st: Pangaea Connectivity Technology First Half 2025 Earnings EPS HK0.015
When determining whether Pangaea Logistic is a strong investment it is important to analyze Pangaea Logistic's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Pangaea Logistic's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Pangaea Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Pangaea Logistic Backtesting, Pangaea Logistic Valuation, Pangaea Logistic Correlation, Pangaea Logistic Hype Analysis, Pangaea Logistic Volatility, Pangaea Logistic History as well as Pangaea Logistic Performance.
For more information on how to buy Pangaea Stock please use our How to buy in Pangaea Stock guide.
You can also try the Sync Your Broker module to sync your existing holdings, watchlists, positions or portfolios from thousands of online brokerage services, banks, investment account aggregators and robo-advisors..
Is Marine Transportation space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Pangaea Logistic. If investors know Pangaea will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Pangaea Logistic listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.74)
Dividend Share
0.4
Earnings Share
0.45
Revenue Per Share
11.544
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.129
The market value of Pangaea Logistic is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Pangaea that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Pangaea Logistic's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Pangaea Logistic's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Pangaea Logistic's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Pangaea Logistic's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Pangaea Logistic's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Pangaea Logistic is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Pangaea Logistic's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.