Aggressive Growth Portfolio Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 109.91

PAGRX Fund  USD 106.79  1.40  1.33%   
Aggressive Growth's future price is the expected price of Aggressive Growth instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Aggressive Growth Portfolio performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Aggressive Growth Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Aggressive Growth Correlation, Aggressive Growth Hype Analysis, Aggressive Growth Volatility, Aggressive Growth History as well as Aggressive Growth Performance.
  
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Aggressive Growth Target Price Odds to finish over 109.91

The tendency of Aggressive Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 109.91  or more in 90 days
 106.79 90 days 109.91 
about 9.85
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Aggressive Growth to move over $ 109.91  or more in 90 days from now is about 9.85 (This Aggressive Growth Portfolio probability density function shows the probability of Aggressive Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Aggressive Growth price to stay between its current price of $ 106.79  and $ 109.91  at the end of the 90-day period is about 18.32 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Aggressive Growth has a beta of 0.82 indicating as returns on the market go up, Aggressive Growth average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Aggressive Growth Portfolio will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Aggressive Growth Portfolio has an alpha of 0.1073, implying that it can generate a 0.11 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Aggressive Growth Price Density   
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.1582.286.4690.7395.6100.47104.26107.78111.43115.69120.56Current PriceTargetAggressive Growth Mean 0.020.040.060.08
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Aggressive Growth

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Aggressive Growth. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
105.60106.79107.98
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
96.11113.12114.31
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
102.75103.93105.12
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
103.63108.01112.39
Details

Aggressive Growth Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Aggressive Growth is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Aggressive Growth's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Aggressive Growth Portfolio, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Aggressive Growth within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.11
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.82
σ
Overall volatility
4.38
Ir
Information ratio 0.08

Aggressive Growth Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Aggressive Growth for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Aggressive Growth can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains all of its assets in stocks

Aggressive Growth Technical Analysis

Aggressive Growth's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Aggressive Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Aggressive Growth Portfolio. In general, you should focus on analyzing Aggressive Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Aggressive Growth Predictive Forecast Models

Aggressive Growth's time-series forecasting models is one of many Aggressive Growth's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Aggressive Growth's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Aggressive Growth

Checking the ongoing alerts about Aggressive Growth for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Aggressive Growth help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains all of its assets in stocks

Other Information on Investing in Aggressive Mutual Fund

Aggressive Growth financial ratios help investors to determine whether Aggressive Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Aggressive with respect to the benefits of owning Aggressive Growth security.
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