Outfront Media Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 17.84
| OUT Stock | USD 19.20 0.07 0.36% |
Outfront |
Outfront Media Target Price Odds to finish over 17.84
The tendency of Outfront Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above $ 17.84 in 90 days |
| 19.20 | 90 days | 17.84 | about 30.49 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Outfront Media to stay above $ 17.84 in 90 days from now is about 30.49 (This Outfront Media probability density function shows the probability of Outfront Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Outfront Media price to stay between $ 17.84 and its current price of $19.2 at the end of the 90-day period is about 27.79 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Outfront Media has a beta of 0.63. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Outfront Media average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Outfront Media will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Outfront Media has an alpha of 0.2335, implying that it can generate a 0.23 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Outfront Media Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Outfront Media
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Outfront Media. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Outfront Media's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Outfront Media Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Outfront Media is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Outfront Media's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Outfront Media, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Outfront Media within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.23 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.63 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.96 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.13 |
Outfront Media Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Outfront Media for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Outfront Media can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Outfront Media has 4.34 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 3.11, meaning that the company heavily relies on borrowing funds for operations. Outfront Media has a current ratio of 0.85, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for Outfront to invest in growth at high rates of return. | |
| The entity reported the last year's revenue of 1.82 B. Reported Net Loss for the year was (430.4 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 860.7 M. | |
| Over 98.0% of Outfront Media shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: OUTFRONT Media and The Farmlink Project Unveil New Campaign to Fight Food Insecurity |
Outfront Media Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Outfront Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Outfront Media's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Outfront Media's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 164.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 36 M |
Outfront Media Technical Analysis
Outfront Media's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Outfront Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Outfront Media. In general, you should focus on analyzing Outfront Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Outfront Media Predictive Forecast Models
Outfront Media's time-series forecasting models is one of many Outfront Media's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Outfront Media's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Outfront Media
Checking the ongoing alerts about Outfront Media for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Outfront Media help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Outfront Media has 4.34 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 3.11, meaning that the company heavily relies on borrowing funds for operations. Outfront Media has a current ratio of 0.85, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for Outfront to invest in growth at high rates of return. | |
| The entity reported the last year's revenue of 1.82 B. Reported Net Loss for the year was (430.4 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 860.7 M. | |
| Over 98.0% of Outfront Media shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: OUTFRONT Media and The Farmlink Project Unveil New Campaign to Fight Food Insecurity |
Additional Tools for Outfront Stock Analysis
When running Outfront Media's price analysis, check to measure Outfront Media's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Outfront Media is operating at the current time. Most of Outfront Media's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Outfront Media's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Outfront Media's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Outfront Media to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.