Ontrack E Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 54.47

OTRGX Fund  USD 53.79  0.14  0.26%   
Ontrack E's future price is the expected price of Ontrack E instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Ontrack E Fund performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Ontrack E Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Ontrack E Correlation, Ontrack E Hype Analysis, Ontrack E Volatility, Ontrack E History as well as Ontrack E Performance.
  
Please specify Ontrack E's target price for which you would like Ontrack E odds to be computed.

Ontrack E Target Price Odds to finish over 54.47

The tendency of Ontrack Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 54.47  or more in 90 days
 53.79 90 days 54.47 
about 18.47
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Ontrack E to move over $ 54.47  or more in 90 days from now is about 18.47 (This Ontrack E Fund probability density function shows the probability of Ontrack Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Ontrack E Fund price to stay between its current price of $ 53.79  and $ 54.47  at the end of the 90-day period is about 61.65 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Ontrack E has a beta of 0.0246. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Ontrack E average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Ontrack E Fund will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Ontrack E Fund has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Ontrack E Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Ontrack E

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ontrack E Fund. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
53.6053.7953.98
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
53.7053.8954.08
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
53.7153.9054.09
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
53.5853.8254.06
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Ontrack E. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Ontrack E's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Ontrack E's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Ontrack E Fund.

Ontrack E Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Ontrack E is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Ontrack E's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Ontrack E Fund, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Ontrack E within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.02
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.02
σ
Overall volatility
0.39
Ir
Information ratio -0.7

Ontrack E Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Ontrack E for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Ontrack E Fund can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Ontrack E Fund generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The fund maintains about 99.92% of its assets in cash

Ontrack E Technical Analysis

Ontrack E's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Ontrack Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Ontrack E Fund. In general, you should focus on analyzing Ontrack Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Ontrack E Predictive Forecast Models

Ontrack E's time-series forecasting models is one of many Ontrack E's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Ontrack E's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Ontrack E Fund

Checking the ongoing alerts about Ontrack E for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Ontrack E Fund help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Ontrack E Fund generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The fund maintains about 99.92% of its assets in cash

Other Information on Investing in Ontrack Mutual Fund

Ontrack E financial ratios help investors to determine whether Ontrack Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Ontrack with respect to the benefits of owning Ontrack E security.
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