Orient Telecoms (UK) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 8.00

ORNT Stock   8.00  0.78  8.88%   
Orient Telecoms' future price is the expected price of Orient Telecoms instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Orient Telecoms performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Orient Telecoms Backtesting, Orient Telecoms Valuation, Orient Telecoms Correlation, Orient Telecoms Hype Analysis, Orient Telecoms Volatility, Orient Telecoms History as well as Orient Telecoms Performance.
  
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Orient Telecoms Target Price Odds to finish over 8.00

The tendency of Orient Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 8.00 90 days 8.00 
about 56.62
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Orient Telecoms to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 56.62 (This Orient Telecoms probability density function shows the probability of Orient Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Orient Telecoms has a beta of -0.4. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Orient Telecoms are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Orient Telecoms is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Orient Telecoms has an alpha of 0.0617, implying that it can generate a 0.0617 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Orient Telecoms Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Orient Telecoms

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Orient Telecoms. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
5.897.9810.07
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
4.846.939.02
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
5.938.0210.11
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
8.008.008.00
Details

Orient Telecoms Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Orient Telecoms is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Orient Telecoms' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Orient Telecoms, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Orient Telecoms within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.06
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.4
σ
Overall volatility
0.12
Ir
Information ratio -0.06

Orient Telecoms Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Orient Telecoms for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Orient Telecoms can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Orient Telecoms is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
About 29.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: RIL preparing for Jio IPO next year, retail business to go public much later Stock Market News - Mint

Orient Telecoms Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Orient Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Orient Telecoms' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Orient Telecoms' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding10 M
Cash And Short Term Investments336.4 K
Shares Float7.4 M

Orient Telecoms Technical Analysis

Orient Telecoms' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Orient Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Orient Telecoms. In general, you should focus on analyzing Orient Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Orient Telecoms Predictive Forecast Models

Orient Telecoms' time-series forecasting models is one of many Orient Telecoms' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Orient Telecoms' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Orient Telecoms

Checking the ongoing alerts about Orient Telecoms for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Orient Telecoms help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Orient Telecoms is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
About 29.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: RIL preparing for Jio IPO next year, retail business to go public much later Stock Market News - Mint

Additional Tools for Orient Stock Analysis

When running Orient Telecoms' price analysis, check to measure Orient Telecoms' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Orient Telecoms is operating at the current time. Most of Orient Telecoms' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Orient Telecoms' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Orient Telecoms' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Orient Telecoms to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.