Oak Ridge Small Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 10.06

ORIGX Fund  USD 8.85  0.05  0.57%   
Oak Ridge's future price is the expected price of Oak Ridge instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Oak Ridge Small performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Oak Ridge Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Oak Ridge Correlation, Oak Ridge Hype Analysis, Oak Ridge Volatility, Oak Ridge History as well as Oak Ridge Performance.
  
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Oak Ridge Target Price Odds to finish over 10.06

The tendency of Oak Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 10.06  or more in 90 days
 8.85 90 days 10.06 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Oak Ridge to move over $ 10.06  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Oak Ridge Small probability density function shows the probability of Oak Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Oak Ridge Small price to stay between its current price of $ 8.85  and $ 10.06  at the end of the 90-day period is about 8.83 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Oak Ridge has a beta of 0.24. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Oak Ridge average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Oak Ridge Small will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Oak Ridge Small has an alpha of 0.1777, implying that it can generate a 0.18 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Oak Ridge Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Oak Ridge

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Oak Ridge Small. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
7.638.8510.07
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
7.989.2010.42
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
7.538.759.97
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
8.738.899.05
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Oak Ridge. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Oak Ridge's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Oak Ridge's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Oak Ridge Small.

Oak Ridge Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Oak Ridge is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Oak Ridge's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Oak Ridge Small, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Oak Ridge within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.18
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.24
σ
Overall volatility
0.37
Ir
Information ratio 0.08

Oak Ridge Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Oak Ridge for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Oak Ridge Small can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Latest headline from news.google.com: Becton, Dickinson and Company Stock Outlook Is Wall Street Bullish or Bearish - MSN
The fund maintains 97.28% of its assets in stocks

Oak Ridge Technical Analysis

Oak Ridge's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Oak Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Oak Ridge Small. In general, you should focus on analyzing Oak Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Oak Ridge Predictive Forecast Models

Oak Ridge's time-series forecasting models is one of many Oak Ridge's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Oak Ridge's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Oak Ridge Small

Checking the ongoing alerts about Oak Ridge for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Oak Ridge Small help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Latest headline from news.google.com: Becton, Dickinson and Company Stock Outlook Is Wall Street Bullish or Bearish - MSN
The fund maintains 97.28% of its assets in stocks

Other Information on Investing in Oak Mutual Fund

Oak Ridge financial ratios help investors to determine whether Oak Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Oak with respect to the benefits of owning Oak Ridge security.
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