OptiCept Technologies (Sweden) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 5.06
| OPTI Stock | SEK 5.06 0.06 1.20% |
OptiCept |
OptiCept Technologies Target Price Odds to finish over 5.06
The tendency of OptiCept Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 5.06 | 90 days | 5.06 | about 73.18 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of OptiCept Technologies to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 73.18 (This OptiCept Technologies AB probability density function shows the probability of OptiCept Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon OptiCept Technologies AB has a beta of -0.29. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding OptiCept Technologies are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, OptiCept Technologies AB is likely to outperform the market. Additionally OptiCept Technologies AB has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. OptiCept Technologies Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for OptiCept Technologies
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as OptiCept Technologies. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.OptiCept Technologies Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. OptiCept Technologies is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the OptiCept Technologies' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold OptiCept Technologies AB, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of OptiCept Technologies within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.15 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.29 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.55 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.04 |
OptiCept Technologies Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of OptiCept Technologies for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for OptiCept Technologies can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| OptiCept Technologies generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| OptiCept Technologies has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| OptiCept Technologies has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 4.44 M. Net Loss for the year was (47.3 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 5.76 M. | |
| OptiCept Technologies AB has accumulated about 15.51 M in cash with (32.17 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.28. | |
| Roughly 29.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
OptiCept Technologies Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of OptiCept Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential OptiCept Technologies' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. OptiCept Technologies' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 31.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 68 M |
OptiCept Technologies Technical Analysis
OptiCept Technologies' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. OptiCept Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of OptiCept Technologies AB. In general, you should focus on analyzing OptiCept Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
OptiCept Technologies Predictive Forecast Models
OptiCept Technologies' time-series forecasting models is one of many OptiCept Technologies' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary OptiCept Technologies' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about OptiCept Technologies
Checking the ongoing alerts about OptiCept Technologies for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for OptiCept Technologies help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| OptiCept Technologies generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| OptiCept Technologies has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| OptiCept Technologies has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 4.44 M. Net Loss for the year was (47.3 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 5.76 M. | |
| OptiCept Technologies AB has accumulated about 15.51 M in cash with (32.17 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.28. | |
| Roughly 29.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Additional Tools for OptiCept Stock Analysis
When running OptiCept Technologies' price analysis, check to measure OptiCept Technologies' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy OptiCept Technologies is operating at the current time. Most of OptiCept Technologies' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of OptiCept Technologies' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move OptiCept Technologies' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of OptiCept Technologies to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.