Octopus Aim (UK) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 51.65
| OOA Stock | 51.30 0.00 0.00% |
Octopus |
Octopus Aim Target Price Odds to finish below 51.65
The tendency of Octopus Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 51.65 after 90 days |
| 51.30 | 90 days | 51.65 | about 30.34 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Octopus Aim to stay under 51.65 after 90 days from now is about 30.34 (This Octopus Aim Vct probability density function shows the probability of Octopus Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Octopus Aim Vct price to stay between its current price of 51.30 and 51.65 at the end of the 90-day period is about 11.7 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Octopus Aim Vct has a beta of -0.0185. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Octopus Aim are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Octopus Aim Vct is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Octopus Aim Vct has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Octopus Aim Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Octopus Aim
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Octopus Aim Vct. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Octopus Aim Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Octopus Aim is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Octopus Aim's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Octopus Aim Vct, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Octopus Aim within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.07 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.02 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.94 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.34 |
Octopus Aim Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Octopus Aim for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Octopus Aim Vct can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Octopus Aim Vct generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Net Loss for the year was (17.73 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (15.62 M). | |
| Octopus Aim generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Octopus AIM VCTs Expand Subscription Offer with 10M Facility - TipRanks |
Octopus Aim Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Octopus Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Octopus Aim's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Octopus Aim's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 185.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 48.8 M |
Octopus Aim Technical Analysis
Octopus Aim's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Octopus Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Octopus Aim Vct. In general, you should focus on analyzing Octopus Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Octopus Aim Predictive Forecast Models
Octopus Aim's time-series forecasting models is one of many Octopus Aim's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Octopus Aim's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Octopus Aim Vct
Checking the ongoing alerts about Octopus Aim for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Octopus Aim Vct help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Octopus Aim Vct generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Net Loss for the year was (17.73 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (15.62 M). | |
| Octopus Aim generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Octopus AIM VCTs Expand Subscription Offer with 10M Facility - TipRanks |
Other Information on Investing in Octopus Stock
Octopus Aim financial ratios help investors to determine whether Octopus Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Octopus with respect to the benefits of owning Octopus Aim security.