Omeros Stock Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 4.08
| OMER Stock | USD 7.63 0.86 10.13% |
Omeros |
Omeros Target Price Odds to finish over 4.08
The tendency of Omeros Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above $ 4.08 in 90 days |
| 7.63 | 90 days | 4.08 | about 72.62 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Omeros to stay above $ 4.08 in 90 days from now is about 72.62 (This Omeros probability density function shows the probability of Omeros Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Omeros price to stay between $ 4.08 and its current price of $7.63 at the end of the 90-day period is about 45.81 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Omeros has a beta of 0.8. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Omeros average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Omeros will be expected to be much smaller as well. Moreover Omeros has an alpha of 1.4834, implying that it can generate a 1.48 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Omeros Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Omeros
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Omeros. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Omeros' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Omeros Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Omeros is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Omeros' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Omeros, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Omeros within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 1.48 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.80 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.91 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.13 |
Omeros Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Omeros for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Omeros can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Omeros is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Omeros appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Omeros has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Net Loss for the year was (117.81 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (71.4 M). | |
| Omeros has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Omeros Corporation Investment Opportunity Finely Poised As The Market Waits For Key Updates - Seeking Alpha |
Omeros Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Omeros Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Omeros' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Omeros' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 62.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 171.8 M |
Omeros Technical Analysis
Omeros' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Omeros Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Omeros. In general, you should focus on analyzing Omeros Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Omeros Predictive Forecast Models
Omeros' time-series forecasting models is one of many Omeros' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Omeros' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Omeros
Checking the ongoing alerts about Omeros for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Omeros help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Omeros is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Omeros appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Omeros has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Net Loss for the year was (117.81 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (71.4 M). | |
| Omeros has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Omeros Corporation Investment Opportunity Finely Poised As The Market Waits For Key Updates - Seeking Alpha |
Additional Tools for Omeros Stock Analysis
When running Omeros' price analysis, check to measure Omeros' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Omeros is operating at the current time. Most of Omeros' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Omeros' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Omeros' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Omeros to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.