Orascom Investment (Egypt) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.43
| OIH Stock | 0.54 0.03 5.88% |
Orascom |
Orascom Investment Target Price Odds to finish below 0.43
The tendency of Orascom Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 0.43 or more in 90 days |
| 0.54 | 90 days | 0.43 | about 62.71 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Orascom Investment to drop to 0.43 or more in 90 days from now is about 62.71 (This Orascom Investment Holding probability density function shows the probability of Orascom Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Orascom Investment price to stay between 0.43 and its current price of 0.54 at the end of the 90-day period is about 37.11 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Orascom Investment has a beta of 0.51. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Orascom Investment average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Orascom Investment Holding will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Orascom Investment Holding has an alpha of 0.396, implying that it can generate a 0.4 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Orascom Investment Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Orascom Investment
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Orascom Investment. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Orascom Investment's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Orascom Investment Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Orascom Investment is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Orascom Investment's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Orascom Investment Holding, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Orascom Investment within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.40 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.51 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.03 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.13 |
Orascom Investment Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Orascom Investment for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Orascom Investment can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Orascom Investment has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock |
Orascom Investment Technical Analysis
Orascom Investment's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Orascom Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Orascom Investment Holding. In general, you should focus on analyzing Orascom Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Orascom Investment Predictive Forecast Models
Orascom Investment's time-series forecasting models is one of many Orascom Investment's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Orascom Investment's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Orascom Investment
Checking the ongoing alerts about Orascom Investment for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Orascom Investment help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Orascom Investment has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock |
Additional Tools for Orascom Stock Analysis
When running Orascom Investment's price analysis, check to measure Orascom Investment's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Orascom Investment is operating at the current time. Most of Orascom Investment's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Orascom Investment's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Orascom Investment's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Orascom Investment to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.