Oasis Crescent (South Africa) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 2,048

OAS Stock   2,050  0.00  0.00%   
Oasis Crescent's future price is the expected price of Oasis Crescent instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Oasis Crescent Property performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Oasis Crescent Backtesting, Oasis Crescent Valuation, Oasis Crescent Correlation, Oasis Crescent Hype Analysis, Oasis Crescent Volatility, Oasis Crescent History as well as Oasis Crescent Performance.
  
Please specify Oasis Crescent's target price for which you would like Oasis Crescent odds to be computed.

Oasis Crescent Target Price Odds to finish below 2,048

The tendency of Oasis Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move below current price in 90 days
 2,050 90 days 2,050 
about 99.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Oasis Crescent to move below current price in 90 days from now is about 99.0 (This Oasis Crescent Property probability density function shows the probability of Oasis Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Oasis Crescent Property has a beta of -0.13. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Oasis Crescent are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Oasis Crescent Property is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Oasis Crescent Property has an alpha of 0.0733, implying that it can generate a 0.0733 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Oasis Crescent Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Oasis Crescent

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Oasis Crescent Property. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
2,0492,0502,051
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1,8021,8022,255
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
2,0732,0732,074
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
1,8212,0382,254
Details

Oasis Crescent Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Oasis Crescent is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Oasis Crescent's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Oasis Crescent Property, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Oasis Crescent within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.07
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.13
σ
Overall volatility
41.99
Ir
Information ratio 0.04

Oasis Crescent Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Oasis Crescent for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Oasis Crescent Property can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 79.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Oasis Crescent Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Oasis Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Oasis Crescent's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Oasis Crescent's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding66.3 M
Dividends Paid22.7 M
Forward Annual Dividend Rate0.94
Shares Float37.7 M

Oasis Crescent Technical Analysis

Oasis Crescent's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Oasis Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Oasis Crescent Property. In general, you should focus on analyzing Oasis Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Oasis Crescent Predictive Forecast Models

Oasis Crescent's time-series forecasting models is one of many Oasis Crescent's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Oasis Crescent's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Oasis Crescent Property

Checking the ongoing alerts about Oasis Crescent for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Oasis Crescent Property help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 79.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in Oasis Stock

Oasis Crescent financial ratios help investors to determine whether Oasis Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Oasis with respect to the benefits of owning Oasis Crescent security.