ASGN Incorporated (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 78.92

OA2 Stock  EUR 80.00  0.50  0.62%   
ASGN Incorporated's future price is the expected price of ASGN Incorporated instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of ASGN Incorporated performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out ASGN Incorporated Backtesting, ASGN Incorporated Valuation, ASGN Incorporated Correlation, ASGN Incorporated Hype Analysis, ASGN Incorporated Volatility, ASGN Incorporated History as well as ASGN Incorporated Performance.
  
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ASGN Incorporated Target Price Odds to finish below 78.92

The tendency of ASGN Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to € 78.92  or more in 90 days
 80.00 90 days 78.92 
roughly 2.1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of ASGN Incorporated to drop to € 78.92  or more in 90 days from now is roughly 2.1 (This ASGN Incorporated probability density function shows the probability of ASGN Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of ASGN Incorporated price to stay between € 78.92  and its current price of €80.0 at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 2.47 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.7 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, ASGN Incorporated will likely underperform. Additionally ASGN Incorporated has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   ASGN Incorporated Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for ASGN Incorporated

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ASGN Incorporated. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
77.8180.0082.19
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
72.0083.1285.32
Details

ASGN Incorporated Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. ASGN Incorporated is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the ASGN Incorporated's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold ASGN Incorporated, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of ASGN Incorporated within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.12
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.70
σ
Overall volatility
3.16
Ir
Information ratio -0.04

ASGN Incorporated Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of ASGN Incorporated for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for ASGN Incorporated can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
ASGN Incorporated generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
ASGN Incorporated has accumulated €1.03 Billion in debt which can lead to volatile earnings
Over 96.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors

ASGN Incorporated Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of ASGN Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential ASGN Incorporated's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. ASGN Incorporated's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding49.9 M

ASGN Incorporated Technical Analysis

ASGN Incorporated's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. ASGN Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of ASGN Incorporated. In general, you should focus on analyzing ASGN Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

ASGN Incorporated Predictive Forecast Models

ASGN Incorporated's time-series forecasting models is one of many ASGN Incorporated's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary ASGN Incorporated's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about ASGN Incorporated

Checking the ongoing alerts about ASGN Incorporated for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for ASGN Incorporated help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
ASGN Incorporated generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
ASGN Incorporated has accumulated €1.03 Billion in debt which can lead to volatile earnings
Over 96.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors

Other Information on Investing in ASGN Stock

ASGN Incorporated financial ratios help investors to determine whether ASGN Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in ASGN with respect to the benefits of owning ASGN Incorporated security.